# Nightcap (podcast) — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 55.5%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 19.76
- **Graded articles:** 34
- **Graded individual calls:** 87
- **Pundits contributing:** 11
- **Clarity:** 94.97%

This is an established record: 30 or more graded articles.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Joe Hayden](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-hayden): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy, score 150 (provisional)
- [James Harrison](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/james-harrison): 5 graded across 4 articles, 58.84% accuracy, score 80 (provisional)
- [Joe Johnson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-johnson): 5 graded across 2 articles, 75% accuracy, score 70.26 (provisional)
- [Shannon Sharpe](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe): 33 graded across 21 articles, 62.42% accuracy, score 19.85 (limited)
- [Kevin Riley](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kevin-riley): 1 graded across 1 article, 55% accuracy, score 6.95 (provisional)
- [Chad Ochocinco Johnson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chad-ochocinco-johnson): 32 graded across 20 articles, 42.61% accuracy, score 1.77 (limited)
- [Terron Armstead](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/terron-armstead): 2 graded across 2 articles, 50% accuracy, score -41.66 (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Trade and Signing Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-movement): 8 graded of 34 logged, averaging 50
- [Depth Chart Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/depth-chart): 7 graded of 30 logged, averaging 100
- [Game Outcome Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/game-outcome): 21 graded of 22 logged, averaging 61.9
- [Player Season Numbers](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-season-stat): 6 graded of 17 logged, averaging 18.2
- [Top Player Lists](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/top-players-list): 4 graded of 11 logged, averaging 33.8
- [Conference Champions](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/conference-champion): 5 graded of 10 logged, averaging 0
- [Super Bowl Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/super-bowl-pick): 6 graded of 9 logged, averaging 25
- [Positional Finishes](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-positional-finish): 7 graded of 8 logged, averaging 22.6
- [Award Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-award): 5 graded of 8 logged, averaging 80
- [Combine Measurements](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/combine-measurement): 3 graded of 5 logged, averaging 28.4
- [Roster Spot Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/roster-spot): 2 graded of 4 logged, averaging 50
- [Mock Draft Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/nfl-draft-position): 3 graded of 4 logged, averaging 66.7
- [Division Winners](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/division-winner): 2 graded of 4 logged, averaging 50
- [Season Win Totals](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/season-win-total): 0 graded of 3 logged
- [Playoff Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/playoff-berth): 1 graded of 3 logged, averaging 0
- [Surprise Team Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/surprise-team): 0 graded of 3 logged
- [Position Order Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/draft-positional-order): 2 graded of 2 logged, averaging 85.4
- [Coach Award Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/coach-award): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100
- [Draft Bust Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/draft-bust): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Seeding, Byes and Home Field](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/playoff-seeding): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-accolade): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 0
- [Fantasy Rankings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/fantasy-draft-ranking): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 63.6
- [Score Predictions](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/game-score): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100
- [Power Rankings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/power-rankings): 0 graded of 1 logged
- [Prospect vs Prospect Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/draft-versus-player): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100
- [Position Group Rankings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/position-group-rankings): 0 graded of 1 logged

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/nightcap-podcast
Their site: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/1119-nightcap-124108518/