# The 33rd Team — prediction record



## Record, pooled across everyone writing under this banner

- **Accuracy:** 70.53%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 15.45
- **Graded articles:** 50
- **Graded individual calls:** 772
- **Pundits contributing:** 30
- **Clarity:** 98.85%

This is an established record: 30 or more graded articles.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline the calls did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Who contributes

- [Dave Wannstedt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dave-wannstedt): 11 graded across 4 articles, 51.79% accuracy, score 49.32 (provisional)
- [Charles Davis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/charles-davis): 22 graded across 6 articles, 70.95% accuracy, score 43.22 (provisional)
- [Kyle Crabbs](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kyle-crabbs): 324 graded across 6 articles, 68.11% accuracy, score 36.52 (provisional)
- [Dan Pizzuta](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dan-pizzuta): 50 graded across 8 articles, 75.48% accuracy, score 31.81 (provisional)
- [Connor Livesay](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/connor-livesay): 5 graded across 2 articles, 59.65% accuracy, score 30.56 (provisional)
- [Marcus Mosher](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marcus-mosher): 97 graded across 16 articles, 80.31% accuracy, score 24.55 (limited)
- [Daniel Jeremiah](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/daniel-jeremiah): 278 graded across 40 articles, 66.1% accuracy, score 22.2 (established)
- [Lance Zierlein](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lance-zierlein): 40 graded across 16 articles, 66.11% accuracy, score 19.36 (limited)
- [Dirk Koetter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dirk-koetter): 7 graded across 1 article, 8.33% accuracy, score 16.67 (provisional)
- [Marty Mornhinweg](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marty-mornhinweg): 7 graded across 1 article, 8.33% accuracy, score 16.67 (provisional)
- [Wade Phillips](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/wade-phillips): 7 graded across 1 article, 8.33% accuracy, score 16.67 (provisional)
- [Robert Smith](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/robert-smith): 8 graded across 2 articles, 41.52% accuracy, score 16.52 (provisional)
- [Ross Tucker](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ross-tucker): 19 graded across 3 articles, 81.94% accuracy, score 13.5 (provisional)
- [Chris Long](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-long): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Chuck Pagano](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chuck-pagano): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Joe Thomas](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-thomas): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Marvin Lewis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marvin-lewis): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Matt Cassel](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-cassel): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Mike Martz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-martz): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Mike Tannenbaum](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-tannenbaum): 8 graded across 2 articles, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Mike Zimmer](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-zimmer): 6 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Rich Gannon](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-gannon): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Ronde Barber](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ronde-barber): 7 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score 0 (provisional)
- [Greg Jennings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/greg-jennings): 16 graded across 5 articles, 35.48% accuracy, score -3.95 (provisional)
- [Jordan Vanek](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jordan-vanek): 4 graded across 1 article, 55.78% accuracy, score -20.5 (provisional)
- [Ryan Reynolds](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-reynolds): 70 graded across 2 articles, 50.06% accuracy, score -31.83 (provisional)
- [Grant Reiter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/grant-reiter): 1 graded across 1 article, 0% accuracy, score -200 (provisional)
- [James Foster](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/james-foster): 1 graded across 1 article, 43.91% accuracy (provisional)
- [Jeff Diamond](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jeff-diamond): 1 graded across 1 article, 100% accuracy (provisional)

## Where the evidence is, by kind of prediction

- [Mock Draft Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/nfl-draft-position): 349 graded of 352 logged, averaging 39.4
- [Depth Chart Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/depth-chart): 97 graded of 110 logged, averaging 91.2
- [Award Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-award): 104 graded of 104 logged, averaging 8.7
- [Season Win Totals](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/season-win-total): 38 graded of 40 logged, averaging 55.8
- [Playoff Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/playoff-berth): 32 graded of 35 logged, averaging 68.8
- [Top Player Lists](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/top-players-list): 30 graded of 35 logged, averaging 68.3
- [Trade and Signing Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-movement): 26 graded of 34 logged, averaging 65.4
- [Division Winners](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/division-winner): 21 graded of 21 logged, averaging 47.6
- [Coach Award Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/coach-award): 17 graded of 17 logged, averaging 0
- [Sleeper Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/fantasy-sleeper): 13 graded of 14 logged, averaging 69.2
- [Power Rankings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/power-rankings): 11 graded of 11 logged, averaging 84.6
- [Positional Finishes](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-positional-finish): 9 graded of 10 logged, averaging 33.3
- [Surprise Team Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/surprise-team): 0 graded of 6 logged
- [Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-accolade): 1 graded of 6 logged, averaging 0
- [Team Draft Slot Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/team-draft-slot): 5 graded of 5 logged, averaging 94.3
- [Player Season Numbers](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-season-stat): 2 graded of 5 logged, averaging 43
- [Game Outcome Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/game-outcome): 4 graded of 4 logged, averaging 75
- [Conference Champions](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/conference-champion): 4 graded of 4 logged, averaging 25
- [Position Order Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/draft-positional-order): 3 graded of 3 logged, averaging 70.7
- [Seeding, Byes and Home Field](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/playoff-seeding): 3 graded of 3 logged, averaging 66.7
- [Roster Spot Calls](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/roster-spot): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 100
- [Super Bowl Picks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/super-bowl-pick): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 0
- [Position Group Rankings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/position-group-rankings): 1 graded of 1 logged, averaging 59.2

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
Their site: https://www.the33rdteam.com/
