# Division Winners — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 1027
- **Graded:** 351 (34% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 27.4 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 96; **under 40:** 255
- **Pundits who have made one:** 132

## Who is good at division winners

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Brandon Anderson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-anderson): score 200, 100 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Damonza Byrd](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/damonza-byrd): score 178, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Rashad Jennings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rashad-jennings): score 156, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Matt Hasselbeck](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-hasselbeck): score 140, 70 accuracy, 6 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Jamie Erdahl](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jamie-erdahl): score 108.86, 62.5 accuracy, 14 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Kyle Brandt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kyle-brandt): score 102, 62.5 accuracy, 20 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Manti Te'o](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/manti-te-o): score 81.4, 48.33 accuracy, 15 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Jason McIntyre](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jason-mcintyre): score 75, 41.67 accuracy, 10 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/john-middlekauff): score 40, 20 accuracy, 8 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman): score 36.57, 38.67 accuracy, 32 graded across 25 articles (limited)
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/richard-sherman): score 33.33, 33.33 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brady Quinn](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brady-quinn): score 25, 25 accuracy, 8 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-eisen): score 16.03, 30.26 accuracy, 45 graded across 38 articles (established)
- [LaVar Arrington](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lavar-arrington): score 0, 12.5 accuracy, 16 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Jonas Knox](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jonas-knox): score 0, 12.5 accuracy, 16 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Ryan Reynolds](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-reynolds): score 0, 50 accuracy, 8 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dan Pizzuta](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dan-pizzuta): score 0, 37.5 accuracy, 8 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Simon Hunter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/simon-hunter): score 0, 0 accuracy, 4 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Cynthia Frelund](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund): score 0, 0 accuracy, 3 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Aaron Schatz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/aaron-schatz): score 0, 33.33 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal): score 0, 0 accuracy, 3 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/danny-parkins): score 0, 0 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Chad Millman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chad-millman): score 0, 0 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein): score 0, 0 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [West Wilson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/west-wilson): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Daniel DiBerardinis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/daniel-diberardinis): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Andrew Whitworth](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-whitworth): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Isaiah Stanback](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/isaiah-stanback): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brandon Graham](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-graham): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Tom Pelissero](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tom-pelissero): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Nick Shook](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-shook): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jason Cabinda](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jason-cabinda): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chosen Anderson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chosen-anderson): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Shannon Sharpe](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/colin-cowherd): score -3.15, 5.88 accuracy, 53 graded across 17 articles (limited)
- [Marcus Mosher](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marcus-mosher): score -13.5, 59.52 accuracy, 10 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [TJ Jefferson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tj-jefferson): score -28.57, 0 accuracy, 7 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright): score -45.46, 12.5 accuracy, 14 graded across 8 articles (provisional)
- [Grant Reiter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/grant-reiter): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Seth Rollins](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/seth-rollins): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [Nightcap (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/nightcap-podcast): score 72, 2 graded (provisional)
- [Move the Sticks (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast): score 54.32, 64 graded (limited)
- [The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-colin-cowherd-podcast-podcast): score 50, 5 graded (provisional)
- [Overreaction Monday (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast): score 19.06, 53 graded (limited)
- [The Draft Network](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-draft-network): score 12.5, 9 graded (provisional)
- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score 11.99, 103 graded (established)
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): score 7, 34 graded (limited)
- [2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe-podcast): score 5.56, 40 graded (provisional)
- [Sharp Football Analysis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis): score 0, 8 graded (provisional)
- [Fox Sports Radio (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fox-sports-radio-podcast): score 0, 1 graded (provisional)
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): score 0, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Around the NFL (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast): score -33.33, 10 graded (provisional)
- [The 33rd Team](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team): score -39.45, 21 graded (limited)

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/division-winner
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/division-winner
