# Draft Bust Calls — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 28
- **Graded:** 2 (7% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 50 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 1; **under 40:** 1
- **Pundits who have made one:** 16

## Who is good at draft bust calls

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/john-middlekauff): score 3, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)

## By publisher

- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score 3, 2 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/draft-bust
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/draft-bust