# Fantasy Bust Calls — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 409
- **Graded:** 38 (9% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 57.9 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 22; **under 40:** 16
- **Pundits who have made one:** 47

## Who is good at fantasy bust calls

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Simon Hunter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/simon-hunter): score 200, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Derek Brown](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown): score 125, 81.25 accuracy, 12 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Andrew Erickson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson): score 100, 75 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chris Welsh](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-welsh): score 100, 75 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Joe Pisapia](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-pisapia): score 0, 50 accuracy, 4 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice): score -20, 45 accuracy, 7 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Jake Ciely](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jake-ciely): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 4 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Sean Kerner](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/sean-kerner): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Ryan Wormeli](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-wormeli): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score 34.81, 38 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/fantasy-bust
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/fantasy-bust