# Sleeper Calls — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 2727
- **Graded:** 308 (11% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 52.6 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 162; **under 40:** 146
- **Pundits who have made one:** 181

## Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Simon Hunter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/simon-hunter): score 200, 100 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Peter Schrager](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/peter-schrager): score 200, 100 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jourdan Rodrigue](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jourdan-rodrigue): score 200, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mike Mayock](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-mayock): score 200, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal): score 200, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Patrick Claybon](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/patrick-claybon): score 122, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Rich Hribar](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-hribar): score 120, 80 accuracy, 5 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brandon Carney](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-carney): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Marcus Mosher](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marcus-mosher): score 66.67, 66.67 accuracy, 13 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Seth Woolcock](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/seth-woolcock): score 66.67, 66.67 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Tom Strachan](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tom-strachan): score 60, 65 accuracy, 24 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice): score 34.06, 59.2 accuracy, 32 graded across 8 articles (provisional)
- [Ryan Wormeli](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-wormeli): score 20, 55 accuracy, 12 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Chris Raybon](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-raybon): score 18.18, 54.55 accuracy, 11 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mike Harmon](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-harmon): score 10.6, 55 accuracy, 20 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Derek Brown](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown): score 8.99, 52.25 accuracy, 41 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Scott Bogman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/scott-bogman): score 0, 50 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jason Cabinda](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jason-cabinda): score 0, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Cynthia Frelund](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund): score -2.75, 50 accuracy, 4 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Andrew Erickson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson): score -13.03, 44.67 accuracy, 37 graded across 10 articles (limited)
- [Mason Dodd](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mason-dodd): score -25, 43.75 accuracy, 16 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chris Welsh](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-welsh): score -42.2, 40 accuracy, 17 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Joe Dolan](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-dolan): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Terrell Furman Jr](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/terrell-furman-jr): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein): score -66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jake Ciely](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jake-ciely): score -74.13, 26.67 accuracy, 15 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Joe Pisapia](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-pisapia): score -93.5, 20 accuracy, 9 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Sean Kerner](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/sean-kerner): score -100, 25 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chad Ochocinco Johnson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chad-ochocinco-johnson): score -100, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Greg Cosell](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/greg-cosell): score -100, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Matt Money Smith](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-money-smith): score -100, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Ross Jackson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ross-jackson): score -100, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Adam Rank](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/adam-rank): score -122, 0 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman): score -133.33, 16.67 accuracy, 4 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-eisen): score -200, 0 accuracy, 3 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Kyle Brandt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kyle-brandt): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Aaron Schatz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/aaron-schatz): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Isaac Rochell](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/isaac-rochell): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Manti Te'o](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/manti-te-o): score -200, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [Sharp Football Analysis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis): score 120, 5 graded (provisional)
- [Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Around the NFL (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast): score 97.25, 4 graded (provisional)
- [The 33rd Team](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team): score 66.67, 13 graded (provisional)
- [Fox Sports Radio (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fox-sports-radio-podcast): score 10.6, 20 graded (provisional)
- [The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-podcast-podcast): score 0, 4 graded (provisional)
- [Overreaction Monday (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast): score 0, 2 graded (provisional)
- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score -31.21, 241 graded (limited)
- [Move the Sticks (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast): score -50, 10 graded (provisional)
- [Nightcap (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/nightcap-podcast): score -100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Saints (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-saints-podcast): score -100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): score -133.33, 6 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/fantasy-sleeper
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/fantasy-sleeper
