# Mock Draft Picks — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 3980
- **Graded:** 2914 (73% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 64.4 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 1419; **under 40:** 762
- **Pundits who have made one:** 208

## Who is good at mock draft picks

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman): score 50, 75.02 accuracy, 36 graded across 15 articles (limited)
- [Ryan Tracy](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-tracy): score 50, 47.82 accuracy, 21 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/john-middlekauff): score 50, 76.12 accuracy, 19 graded across 11 articles (limited)
- [Chris Clark](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-clark): score 50, 67.7 accuracy, 16 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Joel Klatt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joel-klatt): score 50, 91.99 accuracy, 13 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Tom Pelissero](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tom-pelissero): score 50, 86.68 accuracy, 13 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Dylan Sanders](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dylan-sanders): score 50, 67.64 accuracy, 10 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Jeff Cavanaugh](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jeff-cavanaugh): score 50, 82.38 accuracy, 10 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Dane Brugler](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dane-brugler): score 50, 87.42 accuracy, 8 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Kyle Brandt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kyle-brandt): score 50, 43.6 accuracy, 8 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Jason McIntyre](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jason-mcintyre): score 50, 63.83 accuracy, 6 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Brian Bosarge](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brian-bosarge): score 50, 17.75 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Darrion Gray](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/darrion-gray): score 50, 63.67 accuracy, 5 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Cody Kessler](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cody-kessler): score 50, 31.59 accuracy, 5 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Bernie Frattle](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/bernie-frattle): score 50, 64.87 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Justin Pugh](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/justin-pugh): score 50, 92.89 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Natalie Kerwin](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/natalie-kerwin): score 50, 83.54 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Bradley Locker](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/bradley-locker): score 50, 60 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/michael-middlehurst-schwartz): score 50, 50.49 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Lance Moore](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lance-moore): score 50, 85.86 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [John Butchko](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/john-butchko): score 50, 85.36 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Logan Ryan](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/logan-ryan): score 50, 50.11 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brendan Donahue](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brendan-donahue): score 48.64, 77.25 accuracy, 16 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brady Quinn](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brady-quinn): score 47.58, 79.53 accuracy, 15 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Chad Reuter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chad-reuter): score 47.5, 58.33 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jason Hirschhorn](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jason-hirschhorn-2): score 47, 52.96 accuracy, 5 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jacob Westendorf](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jacob-westendorf): score 47, 52.96 accuracy, 5 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-eisen): score 46.67, 83.71 accuracy, 58 graded across 23 articles (limited)
- [Jordan Reid](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jordan-reid): score 46.51, 86.62 accuracy, 14 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Charles Davis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/charles-davis): score 46.43, 84.07 accuracy, 13 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Andy Furman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andy-furman): score 45, 97.08 accuracy, 7 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Andrew Erickson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson): score 43.52, 71 accuracy, 12 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chad Rader](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chad-rader): score 43.33, 72.37 accuracy, 10 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [David Harrison](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/david-harrison): score 43.24, 64.04 accuracy, 120 graded across 18 articles (limited)
- [Ryan McCrystal](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-mccrystal): score 40.44, 60.54 accuracy, 36 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Matt Miller](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-miller): score 40.37, 81.48 accuracy, 44 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Emory Hunt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/emory-hunt): score 40.07, 47.2 accuracy, 9 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Kimmi Chex](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kimmi-chex): score 40, 68.52 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/danny-parkins): score 39.69, 95.11 accuracy, 25 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Pat Fitzmaurice](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-fitzmaurice): score 39.64, 60.29 accuracy, 42 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Mike Renner](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-renner): score 39.47, 73.56 accuracy, 98 graded across 10 articles (limited)
- [Ross Jackson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ross-jackson): score 38.36, 63.2 accuracy, 142 graded across 23 articles (limited)
- [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/colin-cowherd): score 38.03, 63.67 accuracy, 60 graded across 14 articles (limited)
- [Keith Sanchez](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/keith-sanchez): score 37.44, 68.43 accuracy, 43 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Nate Tice](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nate-tice): score 37.21, 72.12 accuracy, 20 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Jaime Eisner](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jaime-eisner): score 36.7, 44.02 accuracy, 119 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Vinnie Iyer](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/vinnie-iyer): score 36.31, 72.85 accuracy, 8 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Lance Zierlein](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lance-zierlein): score 36.19, 54.81 accuracy, 27 graded across 8 articles (provisional)
- [Brandon Carney](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-carney): score 35.78, 78.22 accuracy, 18 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright): score 34.79, 82.26 accuracy, 95 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Brian Peacock](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brian-peacock): score 34.72, 67.58 accuracy, 36 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Scott Bogman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/scott-bogman): score 34.14, 63.9 accuracy, 33 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Trevor Sikkema](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/trevor-sikkema): score 33.33, 75.28 accuracy, 17 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Daniel Wade](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/daniel-wade): score 32.86, 60.17 accuracy, 13 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Nick Shook](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-shook): score 32.34, 88.64 accuracy, 37 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Pat Gustavson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-gustavson): score 32.26, 81.84 accuracy, 16 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Field Yates](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/field-yates): score 32.2, 81.41 accuracy, 30 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Todd McShay](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/todd-mcshay): score 31.34, 89.93 accuracy, 24 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Daniel Jeremiah](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/daniel-jeremiah): score 31.02, 64.98 accuracy, 226 graded across 32 articles (established)
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal): score 30.92, 75.55 accuracy, 108 graded across 18 articles (limited)
- [Bucky Brooks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/bucky-brooks): score 30.43, 76.82 accuracy, 99 graded across 18 articles (limited)
- [Mel Kiper](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mel-kiper): score 30.21, 80.62 accuracy, 65 graded across 9 articles (provisional)
- [Eric Crocker](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/eric-crocker-2): score 30, 64.26 accuracy, 16 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Ayrton Ostley](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ayrton-ostley): score 28.73, 59.03 accuracy, 14 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Kyle Crabbs](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kyle-crabbs): score 28.53, 68.27 accuracy, 322 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Derek Brown](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/derek-brown): score 26.75, 78.04 accuracy, 21 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Peter Schrager](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/peter-schrager): score 25, 71.31 accuracy, 18 graded across 9 articles (provisional)
- [Jourdan Rodrigue](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jourdan-rodrigue): score 24.46, 69.93 accuracy, 31 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Steve Mensch](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/steve-mensch): score 22.59, 56.45 accuracy, 14 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [JP Acosta](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jp-acosta): score 22.23, 66.45 accuracy, 69 graded across 11 articles (limited)
- [Eric Edholm](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/eric-edholm): score 20, 47.41 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Peter Bukowski](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/peter-bukowski): score 12.5, 50.11 accuracy, 26 graded across 9 articles (provisional)
- [Jonas Knox](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jonas-knox): score -5, 16.54 accuracy, 10 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mike Mayock](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-mayock): score -5.22, 50.98 accuracy, 22 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Isaiah Stanback](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/isaiah-stanback): score -10, 65.95 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Fran Duffy](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/fran-duffy): score -50, 50.63 accuracy, 8 graded across 4 articles (provisional)

## By publisher

- [Locked On Bills (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-bills-podcast): score 49.38, 36 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Chiefs (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-chiefs-podcast): score 49.01, 53 graded (limited)
- [Fox Sports Radio (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fox-sports-radio-podcast): score 48.67, 42 graded (limited)
- [Locked On Lions (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-lions-podcast): score 48.26, 26 graded (provisional)
- [The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast): score 45.24, 14 graded (provisional)
- [Sharp Football Analysis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis): score 44.54, 52 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Commanders (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast): score 42.93, 126 graded (limited)
- [The Rich Eisen Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-podcast-podcast): score 42.86, 12 graded (provisional)
- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score 41.03, 232 graded (established)
- [Locked On Chargers (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-chargers-podcast): score 40.6, 26 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Saints (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-saints-podcast): score 38.58, 182 graded (limited)
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): score 38.02, 233 graded (established)
- [KC Sports Network (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/kc-sports-network-podcast): score 37.22, 95 graded (limited)
- [The Draft Network](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-draft-network): score 36.48, 162 graded (limited)
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): score 35.25, 119 graded (provisional)
- [Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast): score 34.02, 34 graded (provisional)
- [Around the NFL (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast): score 31.81, 232 graded (limited)
- [Locked On 49ers (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-49ers-podcast): score 31.63, 72 graded (limited)
- [John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/john-and-lance-espn-houston-podcast): score 31.07, 13 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Rams (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-rams-podcast): score 29.69, 14 graded (provisional)
- [Move the Sticks (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast): score 29.57, 350 graded (established)
- [Pushing the Pile (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast): score 29.03, 212 graded (limited)
- [The 33rd Team](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team): score 26.14, 349 graded (limited)
- [NFL Live (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/nfl-live-podcast): score 25.37, 22 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Packers (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-packers-podcast): score 24, 39 graded (limited)
- [DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/dlls-dallas-cowboys-podcast): score 21.75, 72 graded (limited)
- [2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe-podcast): score 21.29, 26 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/nfl-draft-position
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/nfl-draft-position