# Award Picks — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 683
- **Graded:** 354 (52% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 21.2 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 75; **under 40:** 279
- **Pundits who have made one:** 147

## Who is good at award picks

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Joe Hayden](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-hayden): score 150, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Shannon Sharpe](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/shannon-sharpe): score 125, 100 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Chad Ochocinco Johnson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chad-ochocinco-johnson): score 111, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brady Quinn](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brady-quinn): score 111, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jonas Knox](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jonas-knox): score 111, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Damien Woody](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/damien-woody): score 106, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brandon Carney](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-carney): score 100, 100 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brandon Anderson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-anderson): score 100, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Andrew Erickson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-erickson): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Pat McAfee](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-mcafee): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Lance Zierlein](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lance-zierlein): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Bucky Brooks](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/bucky-brooks): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Bobby Bones](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/bobby-bones): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/connor-boston-connor-campbell): score 100, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dan Pizzuta](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dan-pizzuta): score 89, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Peter Schrager](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/peter-schrager): score 75, 75 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Greg Jennings](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/greg-jennings): score 66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Charles Davis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/charles-davis): score 66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jason McIntyre](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jason-mcintyre): score 66.67, 66.67 accuracy, 6 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [The Miz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/the-miz): score 66.67, 33.33 accuracy, 3 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Tom Brady](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tom-brady): score 50, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Colleen Wolfe](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/colleen-wolfe): score 50, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brandon Sneide](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-sneide): score 50, 50 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/richard-sherman): score 47.62, 47.62 accuracy, 11 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Pat Gustavson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/pat-gustavson): score 40, 40 accuracy, 5 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal): score 38.89, 38.89 accuracy, 18 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Wade Phillips](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/wade-phillips): score 33.33, 16.67 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Marty Mornhinweg](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marty-mornhinweg): score 33.33, 16.67 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dirk Koetter](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dirk-koetter): score 33.33, 16.67 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright): score 33.29, 28.57 accuracy, 9 graded across 7 articles (provisional)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-eisen): score 31.83, 24.81 accuracy, 37 graded across 27 articles (limited)
- [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/colin-cowherd): score 25, 25 accuracy, 4 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Jourdan Rodrigue](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jourdan-rodrigue): score 22.22, 22.22 accuracy, 17 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman): score 14.57, 11.9 accuracy, 24 graded across 21 articles (limited)
- [Dave Wannstedt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dave-wannstedt): score 14.29, 7.14 accuracy, 8 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Manti Te'o](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/manti-te-o): score 0, 0 accuracy, 10 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Kyle Brandt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kyle-brandt): score 0, 0 accuracy, 9 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Jamie Erdahl](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jamie-erdahl): score 0, 0 accuracy, 9 graded across 6 articles (provisional)
- [Mike Tannenbaum](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-tannenbaum): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chris Long](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-long): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Chuck Pagano](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chuck-pagano): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mike Martz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-martz): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Matt Cassel](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-cassel): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Marvin Lewis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marvin-lewis): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Joe Thomas](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-thomas): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Ronde Barber](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ronde-barber): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Robert Smith](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/robert-smith): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Rich Gannon](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-gannon): score 0, 0 accuracy, 6 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mike Zimmer](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mike-zimmer): score 0, 0 accuracy, 5 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dan Patrick](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dan-patrick): score 0, 0 accuracy, 3 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Eric Mangini](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/eric-mangini): score 0, 0 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/john-middlekauff): score 0, 0 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Chris Broussard](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-broussard): score 0, 0 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Willie Colon](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/willie-colon): score 0, 0 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein): score 0, 0 accuracy, 2 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Cam Jordan](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cam-jordan): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Tom Pelissero](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tom-pelissero): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Justin Penik](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/justin-penik): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Marvin Prince](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marvin-prince): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Todd Fritz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/todd-fritz): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Seton O'Connor](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/seton-o-connor): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Nick Wesseling](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wesseling): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Paul Pabst](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/paul-pabst): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/danny-parkins): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Joe Johnson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/joe-johnson): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Kurt Warner](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kurt-warner): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Seth Rollins](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/seth-rollins): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Matt Ioannidis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/matt-ioannidis): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Brandon Graham](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brandon-graham): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Tony Dungy](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tony-dungy): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [TJ Jefferson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tj-jefferson): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Ryan Reynolds](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-reynolds): score 0, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Jack McKessy](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jack-mckessy): score -14.29, 0 accuracy, 7 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe-podcast): score 111, 2 graded (provisional)
- [Nightcap (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/nightcap-podcast): score 100, 5 graded (provisional)
- [The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-pat-mcafee-show-podcast): score 100, 3 graded (provisional)
- [John and Lance — ESPN Houston (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/john-and-lance-espn-houston-podcast): score 100, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast): score 70, 11 graded (provisional)
- [The 33rd Team](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team): score 64.47, 104 graded (provisional)
- [Locked On Packers (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/locked-on-packers-podcast): score 50, 2 graded (provisional)
- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score 43.74, 39 graded (limited)
- [First Things First (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast): score 33.33, 9 graded (provisional)
- [Overreaction Monday (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast): score 26.94, 47 graded (limited)
- [Move the Sticks (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast): score 22.84, 65 graded (limited)
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): score 21.53, 23 graded (limited)
- [Around the NFL (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast): score 12.5, 24 graded (provisional)
- [The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast): score 0, 7 graded (provisional)
- [Sharp Football Analysis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis): score 0, 3 graded (provisional)
- [Pushing the Pile (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast): score 0, 1 graded (provisional)
- [Fox Sports Radio (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/fox-sports-radio-podcast): score 0, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Draft Network](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-draft-network): score -14.29, 7 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/player-award
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/player-award