# Season Win Totals — NFL prediction accuracy

Scored under the published methodology (https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology), which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

## The numbers

- **Takes logged:** 934
- **Graded:** 269 (29% settled)
- **Average accuracy:** 49.2 out of 100
- **Scored 80 or more:** 86; **under 40:** 91
- **Pundits who have made one:** 139

## Who is good at season win totals

MissedTakes Score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored; zero means no better than guessing. Ratings this early are samples, not reputations: the confidence tier says how many graded articles sit behind each.

- [Andrew Santino](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/andrew-santino): score 160.65, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Cynthia Frelund](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/cynthia-frelund): score 150, 80 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Nick Shook](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-shook): score 90, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Richard Sherman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/richard-sherman): score 55, 70 accuracy, 4 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Josh Pate](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/josh-pate): score 50, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [John Middlekauff](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/john-middlekauff): score 43.61, 52.22 accuracy, 14 graded across 9 articles (provisional)
- [Jason McIntyre](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jason-mcintyre): score 38.75, 72.5 accuracy, 5 graded across 4 articles (provisional)
- [Kyle Brandt](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/kyle-brandt): score 30, 100 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Colin Cowherd](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/colin-cowherd): score 21.92, 43.33 accuracy, 22 graded across 13 articles (limited)
- [Geoff Schwartz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/geoff-schwartz): score 15, 40 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Gregg Rosenthal](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal): score 8.04, 48.5 accuracy, 18 graded across 5 articles (provisional)
- [Chris Brockman](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/chris-brockman): score 6.59, 30.15 accuracy, 19 graded across 13 articles (limited)
- [Danny Parkins](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/danny-parkins): score 5.88, 61.18 accuracy, 17 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Damonza Byrd](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/damonza-byrd): score 5, 30 accuracy, 3 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Aaron Schatz](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/aaron-schatz): score 2.57, 42 accuracy, 7 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Ryan Reynolds](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/ryan-reynolds): score 1.26, 67.81 accuracy, 33 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Brady Quinn](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/brady-quinn): score 0.31, 49.38 accuracy, 32 graded across 2 articles (provisional)
- [Rich Eisen](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-eisen): score -2.52, 35.33 accuracy, 18 graded across 15 articles (limited)
- [Marcus Mosher](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/marcus-mosher): score -4.45, 55.56 accuracy, 5 graded across 3 articles (provisional)
- [Isaiah Stanback](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/isaiah-stanback): score -7.8, 80 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Rich Davis](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/rich-davis): score -10, 80 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Seth Rollins](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/seth-rollins): score -10, 80 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Nick Wright](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/nick-wright): score -10.42, 43.63 accuracy, 50 graded across 10 articles (limited)
- [JP Acosta](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/jp-acosta): score -25, 40 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Mitchell Eisenstein](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/mitchell-eisenstein): score -50, 40 accuracy, 2 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Keith Sanchez](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/keith-sanchez): score -50, 40 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dylan O'Brien](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dylan-o-brien): score -50, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [LaVar Arrington](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/lavar-arrington): score -66.15, 40 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [Dan Patrick](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/dan-patrick): score -100.65, 20 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)
- [TJ Jefferson](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/pundits/tj-jefferson): score -170, 0 accuracy, 1 graded across 1 article (provisional)

## By publisher

- [Move the Sticks (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast): score 57.4, 3 graded (provisional)
- [The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-colin-cowherd-podcast-podcast): score 28.59, 18 graded (provisional)
- [The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast): score 18.72, 91 graded (limited)
- [Around the NFL (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast): score 15.46, 36 graded (provisional)
- [The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast): score -0.97, 20 graded (limited)
- [The 33rd Team](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-33rd-team): score -2.17, 38 graded (provisional)
- [Overreaction Monday (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast): score -5.19, 22 graded (limited)
- [2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/2-pros-and-a-cup-of-joe-podcast): score -11.07, 37 graded (provisional)
- [Pushing the Pile (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast): score -25, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Draft Network](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-draft-network): score -50, 1 graded (provisional)
- [The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)](https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast): score -55.32, 2 graded (provisional)

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Page: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/predictions/season-win-total
The calls themselves: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/nfl/season-win-total
