# Aaron Schatz — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 53.9%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -11.14
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 18
- **Clarity:** 100%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Aug 12, 2025 — scored 47.67 across 5 calls

Schatz gives FTN's top five projected teams for 2025 (Ravens, Lions, Bills, Chiefs, Commanders), picks Bills over... a Bills-Lions Super Bowl matchup, names Bijan Robinson the top fantasy running back, and tabs Packers rookie Matthew Golden as a sleeper who breaks out.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8a92cfc4-f014-4a49-ae6a-73a2c00e79b5

### Jul 25, 2025 — scored 46.08 across 13 calls

Presenting the FTN Football Almanac 2025 projections, Schatz projects the 49ers as the NFC's best team (11.2 wins) and NFC West champion, the Jaguars to win the AFC South with nine wins, the Commanders at 10.6 wins winning the NFC East ahead of Philadelphia, the Raiders at 8.3 wins, the Steelers and Cowboys both at 7.7 wins, and the Panthers last at 5.5 wins.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/34c970e9-dad8-47a2-a3ee-9b5772a03a59


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=aaron-schatz