# AJ Hawk — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 65.91% - **MissedTakes Score:** 19.65 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 24 - **Clarity:** 100% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 50 across 8 calls AJ Hawk picked the Ravens over the Colts, Carolina to beat Chicago outright, the Bills at Houston, the Bengals over Tampa Bay, the Titans over the Jets, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/74f9146c-d27f-4851-b8a4-4103d043308f ### Sep 9, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call AJ Hawk picked the Seahawks to win the opener at home over the Patriots. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e0bf9401-7f2f-48ed-8ac5-f8c9c6e82c4a ### Jan 23, 2026 — scored 75 across 2 calls Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e ### Jan 16, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Hawk picked the Bills to beat the Broncos, the Patriots to beat the Texans behind Drake Maye at home, and the Rams to win in Chicago. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a9d05140-d8e2-4c96-9548-6b02d459d597 ### Dec 5, 2025 — scored 54.55 across 11 calls AJ made his week 14 NFL picks, taking the Jaguars, Bengals, Buccaneers, Steelers, Seahawks, Jets, Browns, Commanders, Broncos, Packers, Rams and Texans. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/71f8f6f1-9fa9-4ca6-bce4-f05fc2997532 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=aj-hawk