# Andrew Erickson — prediction record Andrew Erickson is a fantasy football analyst at FantasyPros, where he writes about draft strategy, sleepers, and players to avoid. His work focuses on identifying value across fantasy rosters — from late-round targets to consensus busts — and he appears on The Herd with Colin Cowherd podcast. He covers a range of NFL teams and players, with particular attention to skill position players like Chase Brown, Drake London, and Tee Higgins. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 57.03% - **MissedTakes Score:** 22.08 - **Graded articles:** 18 - **Graded individual calls:** 143 - **Clarity:** 99.37% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (18) ### Mar 8, 2026 — scored 73.23 across 13 calls Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/88315169-60bb-4af0-81da-7655ff0aa282 ### Feb 22, 2026 — scored 87.38 across 4 calls Erickson laid out his own early 2026 quarterback and tight end ranks — Justin Herbert QB6, Jalen Hurts QB9, Jordan Love QB13, Baker Mayfield QB14, Kyler Murray QB19, Sam Darnold QB23; Tucker Kraft TE8, Isaiah Likely TE12, Ronde Gadsden TE13 — and predicted Kyler Murray starts somewhere in 2026 and Mike Evans stays in Tampa Bay. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b6f4f57a-ff51-4131-9e69-b9d2afe304d8 ### Feb 21, 2026 — scored 79.17 across 3 calls Erickson lays out his own early 2026 running back ranks, fading Christian McCaffrey to RB10 after his 450-touch season, boosting Chase Brown to RB7, Breece Hall to RB12 and Tyler Allgeier to RB28, while docking Kyle Monangai, Rhamondre Stevenson and Woody Marks. He also expects Hall to leave the Jets and be a fantasy RB1 elsewhere. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9442bb98-ffb3-4ee2-ad80-37bd5c8074f4 ### Feb 5, 2026 — scored 37.5 across 4 calls Erickson takes the Patriots with the points and thinks they win the Super Bowl outright, says Jaxon Smith-Njigba will most likely win Offensive Player of the Year, and makes Treveon Henderson catching at least one pass his best bet. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/64819474-ef8c-4d17-9492-f8f4644dcccd ### Jan 17, 2026 — scored 29.74 across 8 calls Erickson gave his 2026 first-round board, leaning on running backs early with Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs, Ja'Marr Chase as his WR1 and Christian McCaffrey slipping to 12. He also touted Malik Nabers as a buying opportunity, projected big touchdown numbers for Burrow and Chase, and called Barkley a buy-low. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/abd0628c-1338-467b-9ac3-d89c922468eb ### Dec 26, 2025 — scored 54.16 across 4 calls Erickson ranked Trevor Lawrence QB6 and Caleb Williams QB10 as a back-end QB1, was out on Dallas Goedert (TE16), high on Hunter Henry (TE7) as a touchdown-scorer, started Taysom Hill (TE11), and predicted Trey McBride would post about 35 fantasy points. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8b1ebe9e-c0fe-4e3a-bd1c-4199699a82af ### Dec 18, 2025 — scored 53.57 across 7 calls Erickson predicted the Chiefs could lose outright at Tennessee in a flat spot, with Tony Pollard finishing as a top-24 running back for a third straight week; he also called Darren Waller a likely TE1 in Week 16, Tetairoa McMillan a top-20 receiver against Tampa Bay, Omarion Hampton the week's RB1, Isaiah Likely a top-12 tight end in a Patriots win over the Ravens, and Audric Estime a smash flex play for the Saints. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9a86737a-7153-4055-8e85-9e8e11d49f0b ### Nov 28, 2025 — scored 85.42 across 4 calls Erickson ranked Brissett QB11 while burying Brock Purdy at QB25, was highest on Sam Darnold at QB12 in a Seahawks blowout of Minnesota, called Brenton Strange a borderline top-12 tight end, and tabbed Colston Loveland as next year's breakout tight end. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e9e47a95-bce8-4e1a-8000-8f5eec1e45ed ### Oct 30, 2025 — scored 17.71 across 8 calls Erickson gave his Week 9 wide receiver rankings, going aggressively high on Rashee Rice, ranking both Jaguars receivers below consensus, and saying Travis Hunter will be Jacksonville's No. 1 receiver the rest of the season. He also floated Darius Slayton as a sneaky play against the 49ers. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7964f752-5e3e-47cb-ac4f-cfdb343a4d49 ### Oct 1, 2025 — scored 52.78 across 9 calls Erickson stayed high on Ja'Marr Chase (WR6) and Jaylen Waddle (WR14), backed a Ladd McConkey bounce-back against Washington, was low on Jordan Addison (WR40) and AJ Brown (WR23), and floated Jerry Jeudy as a fringe top-36 play. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7ea7fe40-c498-4b52-917a-4f37769d24f6 ### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 91.07 across 2 calls Erickson gave his own Week 3 running back ranks, high on Jordan Mason as an RB1 and relatively positive on Pacheco and Skattaboo, and predicted Kenneth Walker would out-snap Zach Charbonnet this week. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0c89878e-cd1b-4a9f-bf81-6c671a90147e ### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 25 across 4 calls Erickson gave his own Week 3 wide receiver ranks, notably putting Justin Jefferson sixth, AJ Brown ninth, Rome Odunze 17th, George Pickens 24th and Tee Higgins way down at 35th, while calling Odunze a full breakout. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ff51b24-a9e4-4771-8388-c761deba6ed5 ### Sep 11, 2025 — scored 42.86 across 2 calls Erickson's Week 2 wide receiver ranks had Nico Collins at 3, AJ Brown 11, Garrett Wilson 15, Emeka Egbuka 20, Jameson Williams 21, Calvin Ridley 26 and Ricky Pearsall 33, and he argued Jaylen Waddle can still be a top-36 receiver. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/86b7b326-6389-4a13-af29-4e6228a4a3f9 ### Sep 7, 2025 — scored 64.32 across 12 calls Erickson reiterated his prediction that Jordan Mason will lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns, backed the Broncos to blow out the Titans in Week 1, called Garrett Wilson a sell and Jacoby Myers a buy-low, expects little from Cooper Kupp, and made several depth-chart calls (Thornton starting in New England, Myers as Vegas' No. 1 receiver, Croskey-Merritt eventually taking the Commanders' 'A back' role). https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3809e587-6fa2-464b-ab98-fd96d353c1bd ### Aug 23, 2025 — scored 48.96 across 25 calls Erickson's must-have targets round by round: Nico Collins in round one (1,500 receiving yards if healthy), Drake London as a top-five WR in round two, Omarion Hampton as the Chargers' bell cow in round three, Kenneth Walker as a top-five fantasy back in round four, plus Tetairoa McMillan, Jaylen Waddle, Ricky Pearsall, Jordan Mason, Tucker Kraft, Drake Maye and a set of late-round fliers. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/58b6b85b-eacc-4bf3-a205-bcc403d81bc2 ### Aug 2, 2025 — scored 15.83 across 6 calls Erickson predicted Drake London finishes as the overall fantasy WR1, Drake Maye as a top-five fantasy quarterback, Tucker Kraft as a top-four fantasy tight end, Jordan Mason leading the NFL in rushing touchdowns (at worst double digits), and Elijah Moore finishing as a fantasy WR1 for the Bills. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3c291de6-c82e-4512-9d79-6a93bffe7f65 ### May 31, 2025 — scored 60 across 10 calls Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ad6dae7d-05a5-45d1-996c-40e336adfcac ### May 17, 2025 — scored 53.95 across 18 calls Erickson laid out his personal 2025 redraft top-75-style ranks, going higher than consensus on Ashton Jeanty (whom he sees finishing as a top-three RB), Drake London (top-three WR upside with 15 TDs), CeeDee Lamb, Chase Brown, Garrett Wilson and Xavier Worthy, while fading Saquon Barkley, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DeVonta Smith, DJ Moore and Jordan Addison. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f6287666-eaac-4848-8f1d-0a470374edf0 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=andrew-erickson