# Chad Millman — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 53.85% - **MissedTakes Score:** 2.75 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 26 - **Clarity:** 90.91% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Sep 13, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls Chad Millman said he had taken money-line positions on several Week 1 underdogs — the Texans outright over the Bills, the Giants outright over Dallas (in a money-line underdog parlay), and Miami outright at Las Vegas — and that the show's survivor pick was the Steelers to win. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bd767876-d060-44de-aa5a-3fc87ff4e749 ### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 60 across 5 calls Millman backed several week one sides outright: Miami to beat the Raiders straight up, the Jets over the Titans, an underdog money line parlay of Houston and the Giants, and a favorites money line parlay of Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Detroit. He also stands by his preseason take that Drake Maye is a top-five NFL quarterback. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/de991e27-ec15-4c6e-ad88-b55bdaea8665 ### Jul 23, 2025 — scored 83.33 across 1 call Millman says he and his co-host both rank Baker Mayfield as their No. 10 fantasy quarterback, and he expects Mike Vrabel's coaching to be worth about three wins for New England. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/42520be8-1e66-4e6c-80c0-e17722d0ea02 ### Jul 18, 2025 — scored 56.87 across 1 call Chad ranked his top 10 NFL quarterbacks for 2025 from a betting perspective, with Patrick Mahomes first, Josh Allen second and Baker Mayfield tenth, plus Stafford, Tua and C.J. Stroud just outside. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f7d6f9aa-c583-4222-be20-3a6be3200262 ### Jul 16, 2025 — scored 47.06 across 17 calls Millman named his 14 playoff teams for 2025: Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Texans, Chargers, Bengals and Patriots in the AFC; Eagles, Packers, 49ers, Lions, Bears, Cowboys and Falcons in the NFC. He also has Cincinnati winning the AFC North, Atlanta winning the NFC South, and San Francisco as one of his two Super Bowl tickets. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3d41f98e-6b3a-48b9-8944-ec90f459c11b --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=chad-millman