# Chris Welsh — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 49.17% - **MissedTakes Score:** -68.33 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 20 - **Clarity:** 95.83% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Oct 1, 2025 — scored 91.67 across 2 calls Welsh argued Quentin Johnston should now be viewed as the Chargers' No. 1 receiver, that Jaylen Waddle becomes Miami's de facto No. 1 with Tyreek Hill out, and called Malik Washington a sneaky deeper option. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5607e120-cc01-4b69-b0e5-2713c46f13be ### Sep 7, 2025 — scored 95.84 across 2 calls Welsh backed the Broncos as his survivor pick over the Titans and suggested Chris Rodriguez is more likely than Bill Croskey-Merritt to start for the Commanders in Week 1. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5d795001-5bae-4261-b304-f61c4e638bfc ### Aug 30, 2025 — scored 85.71 across 14 calls Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 ### Aug 9, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call Welsh pushes back on the Hubbard fade, arguing that at his low-RB2 draft cost Hubbard is a value who should at least deliver a solid floor. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e84a7117-7f8e-4a3e-b467-bbd2c9d13dda ### Jul 5, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call The host endorses Darnell Mooney as a clear value, saying he'll deliver WR3-caliber production while being drafted as a WR5. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/61362f1c-6646-4881-b22c-1a38878451f3 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=chris-welsh