# Craig Horlbeck — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 183
- **Graded articles:** 1
- **Graded individual calls:** 1
- **Clarity:** not enough data

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (1)

### Sep 26, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Horlbeck takes the Bears plus a point against the Raiders in Las Vegas, believing Caleb Williams builds on his Dallas performance against a Raiders team that can't run the ball and turns it over.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b9db3ce7-20d7-405b-9406-98b69f1f54f6


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=craig-horlbeck