# Cynthia Frelund — prediction record Cynthia Frelund is an American sports analyst for NFL Network who specializes in predictive analysis. She previously worked for ESPN and the NFL's League Office. Her predictions appear regularly on Around the NFL and Move the Sticks, as well as on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. Her work spans game picks through every round of the NFL postseason, fantasy sleepers, player stat projections, and division and conference winners. She covers teams across the league, from the Patriots and Bills to the Chiefs and Eagles, and weighs in on players like Joe Burrow, CeeDee Lamb, and Drake Maye. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 61.08% - **MissedTakes Score:** 14.51 - **Graded articles:** 29 - **Graded individual calls:** 124 - **Clarity:** 100% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (29) ### Feb 3, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Freeland's model picked the Seattle Seahawks to win Super Bowl 60, by roughly six points, citing the Patriots' offensive line (especially Will Campbell's health at left tackle) as the biggest mismatch. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/04c60186-7134-4d23-ae00-6dec5a55ac12 ### Jan 23, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls Frielan's model has the Broncos beating the Patriots straight up at home by about a point, and the Seahawks beating the Rams by two; she also affirms the Seahawks winning the Super Bowl. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/288fc128-fa7b-4fd9-95af-fb175568eb3b ### Jan 16, 2026 — scored 100 across 3 calls Frelund picks the Rams to beat the Bears in the frigid divisional round game by more than four points, and takes the Broncos to beat the Bills at home by more than a point. Her model also has the Patriots beating the Texans by two, though she declines to make it her official pick. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b131c4c3-9d0f-4de7-b02c-35a2231f54ce ### Jan 9, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls Freeland picks the Patriots to beat the Chargers by at least four, the Bills to win in Jacksonville largely on Josh Allen, and the Rams to beat the Panthers by roughly eleven; she also agrees with Rosenthal that Green Bay wins. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bc25da8e-d209-433f-8f7c-c5776a6d85e5 ### Jan 2, 2026 — scored 98.33 across 5 calls Freeland picked the Broncos to beat the Chargers, the Rams over the banged-up Cardinals and the Bills over the Jets in Buffalo's stadium finale, while also liking the Texans over Indianapolis and the Eagles. She said Trey Lance would start at quarterback for the Chargers. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/31251280-df09-4c5b-904b-206a73d1a117 ### Dec 26, 2025 — scored 100 across 3 calls Freeland picked three games: the Texans to upset the Chargers at SoFi Stadium behind their pass rush, the 49ers to beat the Bears on Sunday night, and the Patriots to handle the Jets. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9a48fb4c-60b7-46c9-997c-c2d48c2b62b6 ### Dec 19, 2025 — scored 43.75 across 8 calls Freeland's model has the Chargers winning straight up in Dallas, the Texans winning big over the Raiders and going on to win the AFC South, the Lions beating the Steelers by six, the Saints beating the Jets, and the Packers beating the Bears; she also sees the AFC's Super Bowl representative being either Denver or Houston. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/adb6791d-7a19-4d22-b3da-f9d30b419aa2 ### Dec 11, 2025 — scored 59.52 across 5 calls Frelund picks Houston to beat Arizona by more than ten, the Giants over Washington, and Dallas to cover against Minnesota; she also expects the 49ers to make the playoffs as a wild card and has San Francisco winning 30-16 over Tennessee. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b2ce18c3-4d8e-4e12-abfd-b69545044e9e ### Dec 5, 2025 — scored 40 across 5 calls Freeland picks the Chiefs to edge the Texans, the Bills to beat the Bengals at home by more than a field goal, Washington to win at Minnesota regardless of quarterback, and the Browns to beat the Titans by five or more. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d83ff26f-359e-4301-a148-648682009be2 ### Nov 27, 2025 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Freeland picked the Rams to beat Carolina easily, took the Seahawks laying 10.5 at home against Minnesota because Seattle is far better, and said her model has the Colts winning by roughly 2.6 points over Houston (so the Texans cover but do not win). https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8f0fee28-ff02-4a73-aa61-1241ff2c7732 ### Nov 21, 2025 — scored 75 across 4 calls Frelund picks the 49ers to beat the Panthers by a touchdown on Monday night, the Packers to beat the Vikings, and agrees Atlanta wins outright at New Orleans; she also thinks the Raiders can beat the Browns by about two points. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dc2f3565-8ff7-4049-b925-7dc9dc4f2ec4 ### Nov 14, 2025 — scored 100 across 6 calls Frielan picked the Ravens to cover eight at Cleveland, the Bears to win outright in Minnesota, and the Texans to cover seven against Tennessee; she also has Buffalo beating Tampa Bay by four and the Dolphins beating Washington. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/366a5e96-d846-413d-80f9-e8db119243d8 ### Nov 7, 2025 — scored 75 across 4 calls Cynthia's model/picks: Patriots edge the Buccaneers by a point, the Bears beat the Giants by more than 3.5 thanks to New York's outside run defense, the Steelers upset the Chargers outright, and the Ravens win in Minnesota by more than four. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e3495618-5192-46d9-8411-4c8ee839eac5 ### Oct 31, 2025 — scored 78.33 across 5 calls Freeland picked New England to beat the Falcons at home, the Chargers to blow out the Titans, and the Packers to beat the Panthers by more than 12.5 points; her model also sides with the Bills over the Chiefs. She also expects Kyler Murray, not Jacoby Brissett, to start for Arizona. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0a0da921-8f71-4e06-82da-37d411406a32 ### Oct 23, 2025 — scored 83.33 across 8 calls Freeland picked the Chiefs to beat Washington by a big margin, the Colts to blow out the Titans by more than two touchdowns, and Tampa Bay to rebound and win in New Orleans. She also likes the Ravens to win their division and had the Patriots winning. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/867fddf8-f3fd-405b-867a-8d0109e870dc ### Oct 17, 2025 — scored 66.67 across 6 calls Cynthia gave straight-up winners for Week 7: the Jets to beat the Panthers, the Jaguars to beat the Rams in London, the Packers to beat the Cardinals (in a close game), the Lions to beat the Buccaneers by three, the Broncos to beat the Giants by more than seven, and the Chiefs to beat the Raiders by 13. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/72b1b302-171c-43b2-a5dc-c774aaebf3a0 ### Oct 10, 2025 — scored 100 across 3 calls Freeland picked New England to beat New Orleans by more than a field goal, and backed the Colts at home over Arizona, citing Jonathan Taylor against a Cardinals run defense with no answer. She also agreed the Rams would beat the Ravens. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c4daf5c6-a9f2-4165-8c59-a451ed02f193 ### Oct 3, 2025 — scored 20 across 5 calls Freeland picks the Bills to beat the Patriots by roughly eight or nine points, the Colts to beat the Raiders at home, the Eagles to edge the Broncos by a point, the Chargers to narrowly beat Washington, and Seattle to beat Tampa Bay. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f7681b1a-c89d-4481-bfa1-ac91f3b05653 ### Sep 26, 2025 — scored 16.67 across 3 calls Per Rosenthal, Frelund's model picks the Jets over the Dolphins, the Packers over the Cowboys (her top confidence pick), and the Commanders to win in Atlanta. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c9778dfe-7ab0-4d69-93d1-06c26194ee4f ### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 25 across 4 calls Freelan's three picks all back teams she thinks are wrongly listed as underdogs: the Cowboys winning outright in Chicago, the Texans beating the Jaguars, and the Patriots beating the Steelers. She also says the Buccaneers beat the Jets but not convincingly, and predicts a Trevion Henderson breakout. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/aff16767-2b83-4568-b8a3-7bcb9431b529 ### Sep 12, 2025 — scored 28.57 across 7 calls Freeland's model picks Cincinnati to beat Jacksonville by about six at home, New England to win at Miami, and Denver to beat Indianapolis on the strength of its defense; the model also has Minnesota beating Atlanta by three and Pittsburgh beating Seattle by two. She reiterated her Super Bowl pick of the Bills over the Eagles. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4811b4a1-e3cb-4ef4-b7a8-bb7ab9ae23f8 ### Sep 5, 2025 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Frelund's Week 1 picks: the Bears upset the Vikings outright at Soldier Field, the Bills beat the Ravens as home underdogs, Tampa Bay beats Atlanta by more than two, and her model has the Lions beating the Packers. She also called Alvin Kamara badly undervalued in fantasy drafts. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4bf7f315-5d0b-4e17-a65c-b783dd6b4a79 ### Jul 22, 2025 — scored 33.75 across 4 calls Frelund presented her top-10 fantasy quarterback rankings for the season, headed by Josh Allen with Joe Burrow second, and added Jared Goff at No. 11. She also predicted 11 wins for the 49ers, that Burrow leads the league in passing touchdowns (possibly up to 50), and expects improvement/surprises from the Raiders and Patriots. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af613096-7d01-49a2-99e4-de54d6f73979 ### Jul 21, 2025 — scored 37.3 across 7 calls Freeland shared touchdown and yardage projections from her fantasy model, giving Marvin Harrison Jr. eight touchdowns to Malik Nabers' seven, Courtland Sutton eight to CeeDee Lamb's seven, David Montgomery seven rushing scores to DeAndre Swift's six, and about 400 rushing yards for Drake Maye; she also called Hunter Henry a sneaky favorite tight end pick. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1c8d4c94-eaa6-4d95-92b8-9b0292dbec4e ### Jul 7, 2025 — scored 0 across 2 calls Freeland also picks the Lions as NFC North favorites, says they have the best offensive line in the division, likes Drake London for a big season and is avoiding Kyle Pitts in fantasy drafts. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/07112117-7be8-4faf-aee0-b659c8ae89c7 ### Feb 25, 2025 — scored 48.03 across 2 calls In her first mock draft for 2025, Frelund has the Titans taking Travis Hunter first overall rather than a quarterback, and Shedeur Sanders going ninth to the Saints; she also says her simulations have Hunter off the board no later than third overall. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2d86f5ad-6457-40a4-85e1-c1dee383b13a ### Jan 24, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls Frelund picks the Eagles to beat the Commanders but by no more than six points, and takes the Bills plus 1.5 while projecting a one-point Chiefs win — unless Christian Benford and Taylor Rapp are both out, in which case she'd favor Kansas City. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c5e898f2-81c1-434e-9389-e993ca3297f1 ### Jan 17, 2025 — scored 75 across 4 calls Frelund had the Chiefs beating the Texans in a close game, the Lions beating the Commanders (her most confident winner of the week), the Eagles beating the Rams, and the Bills beating the Ravens. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d40c101e-255d-47eb-a439-8bd6ac52d2bf ### Jan 10, 2025 — scored 80 across 5 calls She picked Tampa Bay to beat Washington by at least three, Houston to upset the Chargers at home, and Philadelphia to beat Green Bay, while reaffirming her preseason Chiefs-Eagles Super Bowl matchup. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d75d14b2-e684-46cb-bdbd-ded336b29227 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=cynthia-frelund