# Dan Beyer — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 78.57%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 16.15
- **Graded articles:** 4
- **Graded individual calls:** 7
- **Clarity:** 90%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (4)

### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls

Beyer picked the Chargers as his Week 2 survivor pick, saying they won't start 0-2 at home against the Raiders, and said the 49ers over the Dolphins and the Eagles over the Titans look like easy picks. He also predicted Marvin Harrison Jr. could be traded.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/714fd20d-d606-4ea6-afa4-1784a64c8fef

### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Beyer's Week 1 survivor pick was the Raiders to beat the Dolphins at home.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1901e3ab-68da-4256-ade2-bb6f2a111709

### Jan 24, 2026 — scored 47.62 across 1 call

Dan Bayer liked the Broncos to beat the Patriots straight up 19-17 in a low-scoring game, refused to pick the Seahawks-Rams game, and joined the room in picking the Falcons for the most wins next season.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/97c8c833-5a6d-42ca-bb73-87a4316cc27c

### Jan 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Byer made Week 18 survivor picks: the Jaguars over Tennessee, and, as a coin-flip alternative, the Falcons to beat the Saints.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/07587f00-e234-4bff-b9b5-c67e3e6ed3c9


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=dan-beyer