# Dan Patrick — prediction record Dan Patrick has been a fixture of American sports broadcasting for decades. He hosted The Dan Patrick Show on Premiere Networks and Peacock, co-hosted NBC's Football Night in America, and spent 18 years at ESPN anchoring SportsCenter. He also served as a senior writer for Sports Illustrated and hosts the podcast Dan Patrick Takes a Gamble, focused on sports wagering. His show covers a wide range of NFL topics — quarterback rankings, post-draft power rankings, combine analysis — and he clearly enjoys the NFL Combine as a guilty pleasure, with recurring segments on prospect measurements and draft speculation. His predictions here span game outcomes, Super Bowl picks, draft positioning, player awards, and win totals across teams like the Chiefs, Ravens, Lions, and Eagles. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 52.11% - **MissedTakes Score:** -24.68 - **Graded articles:** 12 - **Graded individual calls:** 26 - **Clarity:** 100% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (12) ### Mar 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Discussing combine hype, Patrick said a team will almost certainly use a first-round pick on Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson after his throwing session. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c7ae42f6-8b4d-408f-a76a-be087301ff3f ### Feb 27, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Patrick says Ohio State's Sonny Styles will be a top-ten pick and may have moved even higher after his combine testing. He also argues Fernando Mendoza is the only legitimate first-round quarterback in the class while Ty Simpson will get a surge of pre-draft hype. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1cc89972-0ead-48d0-982a-9f31f1d60131 ### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 91.67 across 1 call Patrick expects AJ Brown to be playing somewhere other than Philadelphia, and predicts free agent quarterback Malik Willis will land with the Minnesota Vikings. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4fd0fc13-2981-4a02-8244-9161b8b69fdb ### Jan 8, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Patrick predicts the Jets will eventually become a competitive, formidable team if they make smart decisions, and questions Dante Moore's readiness while suggesting Moore could supplant Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 pick if Oregon wins the title. He also says Dylan Gabriel is likely a career backup in the NFL. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/de7ec27d-3d01-4cbd-a89e-f03bb0ee4c43 ### Sep 23, 2025 — scored 7.5 across 4 calls Dan Patrick named his top four teams in the NFC in order (Lions, Packers, Rams, Eagles), said he still has the Lions winning the Super Bowl while naming Kansas City as his AFC favorite, floated Tampa Bay reaching 12-13 wins and home-field advantage, and expects Notre Dame to run the table. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8bfb29d3-4f33-49ca-a9f2-3b4de3843c95 ### Sep 23, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call A caller identified only as James from Virginia said the Ravens will make the playoffs without a doubt. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1dca8249-f3af-49df-a868-c7bfc8d37999 ### Aug 28, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call Patrick agrees Arch Manning will stay at Texas for his senior season, expects the Arizona Cardinals to make the playoffs but not contend for a Super Bowl, calls Kyler Murray a top-five talent at quarterback, and doubts Dallas trades Micah Parsons. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1c283f70-ed70-46c9-9105-3ac69d29cf64 ### Aug 1, 2025 — scored 16.4 across 1 call Host discussion of Terry McLaurin's contract situation included an expectation that McLaurin will continue to produce 1,000-yard receiving seasons. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/536e2bdc-60af-41a1-bb1f-267b619fcd46 ### Feb 28, 2025 — scored 62.5 across 2 calls Discussing the Giants' options at No. 3, Dan Patrick said Cam Ward would be the first quarterback taken in the draft, with Shedeur Sanders the next quarterback off the board. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/68b43fcb-9802-4cdd-a9c2-b37ad68ebad1 ### Feb 24, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls Dan Patrick argued the 2025 quarterback class is weaker than last year's, saying neither Shedeur Sanders nor Cam Ward is better than Bo Nix, and touted Jackson Dart as an underrated first-round talent who might slip to the second or third round. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c7f10039-761e-48c2-b524-ed3a88c82b0f ### Feb 7, 2025 — scored 19.84 across 3 calls Picked the Chiefs to complete the three-peat, beating the Eagles 31-30, with Patrick Mahomes as MVP. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5c9f6d2c-e29b-4203-b65a-24ce323dd0ae ### Feb 5, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call Patrick said he wouldn't bet against Mahomes with the game on the line, called Kansas City the better-coached and better-quarterbacked team, but said Philadelphia is the better team and the one more likely to win in a blowout. He also predicted no running back will win MVP again in his lifetime, and said Christian McCaffrey should have won it the previous season. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b2a36a9-bf00-476d-bf8e-3e41e63a2303 ### Jan 15, 2025 — scored 40 across 6 calls The host (identified only as "Jake") ranks the remaining quarterbacks with Mahomes first and Lamar ahead of Allen in the AFC, Stafford first and Daniels over Goff with Hurts last in the NFC, picks Lamar Jackson for MVP, and takes the Chiefs, Lions and Eagles to win their divisional games. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/86fd3db4-c6ea-4cf8-bbb9-ec716d2311ee --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=dan-patrick