# Hondo Carpenter — prediction record

Hondo Carpenter covers the Las Vegas Raiders for Sports Illustrated, filing detailed dispatches from training camp and joint practices. His reports track roster battles, depth chart movement, and the daily rhythms of a team preparing for the regular season.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 100%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 40
- **Graded articles:** 5
- **Graded individual calls:** 7
- **Clarity:** 87.5%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (5)

### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Carpenter says the right guard competition currently favors Jackson Powers-Johnson over Caleb Rogers, though he expects Rogers to get starts at some point this season, and he projects veteran DE Patrick Johnson to make the 53-man roster.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ca5f809a-068e-4d04-b0fc-e392ed8f0c13

### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Carpenter predicts special-teams linebacker Segun Olubi will make the Raiders' 53-man roster, with Las Vegas carrying five inside linebackers. He also notes projections that the Raiders keep all three quarterbacks, including Aidan O'Connell.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bef79899-9859-4758-9cb0-e3400c3a6c8e

### Aug 22, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Carpenter projects the Raiders' 53-man roster will include 10 defensive backs (four safeties and six cornerbacks) and three quarterbacks, with Kirk Cousins kept barring a compelling trade offer.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d646fde9-b295-4ee8-a853-a1b9bfc8fb20

### Aug 21, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Covering the Raiders' preseason win over Houston, Carpenter predicted kicker Matt Gay has locked up the lone kicker spot on the 53-man roster, and that UDFA rookie Cian Slone will make the roster as well, while Malcolm Koonce will also make it despite an underwhelming camp.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/05f8485b-40df-4761-903c-28474571fe4f

### Aug 12, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Carpenter says rookie fifth-round cornerback Hezekiah Masses has already secured a spot on the Raiders' 53-man roster and will be an impact player in 2026, and he describes Kolton Miller as one of the league's top-five left tackles.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5e0a16b3-d81c-4435-a442-9ecc402f8459


---

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=hondo-carpenter
