# Jake Ciely — prediction record Jake Ciely is a fantasy football analyst at FantasyPros and a guest on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. His work spans draft strategy, rookie evaluations, and positional rankings, with a particular focus on identifying value picks and sleepers across the NFL landscape. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 60.72% - **MissedTakes Score:** -1.56 - **Graded articles:** 9 - **Graded individual calls:** 40 - **Clarity:** 97.52% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (9) ### Feb 22, 2026 — scored 51.39 across 3 calls Sealey gave his early 2026 quarterback ranks — Allen, Lamar, May and Daniels as his top four, Joe Burrow sixth, Daniel Jones 17th, Justin Herbert 10th, C.J. Stroud 25th and Sam Darnold 26th — plus tight ends with Isaiah Likely 13th and Dalton Kincaid down at 16. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f0bd19b0-da37-47d6-b81f-8863be80fbe2 ### Feb 21, 2026 — scored 86.64 across 3 calls Seely gives his own early 2026 running back board — Bijan and Gibbs on top, McCaffrey third (seventh overall), Kyren Williams tenth, Jeanty 11th and Chase Brown 12th — while ranking Skattebo, Dowdle, Pollard, Hubbard and Tucker below consensus. He also insists Kyren Williams remains a top-ten back, expects Skattebo to lead the Giants backfield and expects Rico Dowdle to leave Carolina. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/11e7d74c-dd01-406b-a815-e91c9df6699e ### Feb 14, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call On a Fantasy Pros free-agency show, Jake Seely gave his projected 2026 landing spots for a long list of free agents, including Aaron Rodgers to Minnesota, Daniel Jones back to Indianapolis, Malik Willis to Miami, Alec Pierce to the Raiders, Mike Evans to the 49ers, Deebo Samuel to Pittsburgh, Kenneth Walker to Arizona, Breece Hall to Kansas City and Kyle Pitts and Dallas Goedert re-signing with their current teams. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9c205f56-6491-4dfc-8372-f92cf488d31f ### Jan 17, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 1 call Sealey laid out his projected first round for 2026 fantasy drafts, opening with Bijan Robinson followed by three wide receivers, then a tier of running backs, and closing with Rashee Rice, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Omarion Hampton. He also called Saquon Barkley a buy-low. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b63cc1db-f999-42de-9255-55ffa7d8d29f ### Sep 15, 2025 — scored 95.84 across 4 calls On the FantasyPros waiver wire show, Sealy said Romeo Dobbs is locked in as Green Bay's No. 2 receiver with Jayden Reed out and is a worthwhile free add, that Troy Franklin has passed Marvin Mims to become Denver's No. 2 receiver behind Sutton and deserves a big waiver bid, that Blake Corum is clearly the Rams' backup to Kyren Williams (a top-five handcuff), and that Cedric Tillman and Ayomanor should both be picked up, along with a cheap flyer on Chris Rodriguez. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0083c55a-2b44-4557-952b-4286cb7b8ef4 ### Sep 13, 2025 — scored 86.11 across 3 calls Seeley has dropped Kenneth Walker to RB18 rest-of-season, keeps Breece Hall around RB20 and argues Travis Etienne belongs back in RB2 territory or better, views Egbuka as only a back-end WR2 to sell high on, and thinks Philadelphia matches up too well with Kansas City. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/136cfacf-1f7d-4d03-9cf6-f8ffade51dd4 ### Aug 23, 2025 — scored 62.65 across 14 calls Counting down his top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6b5a40bc-e349-48a1-ad37-18ee448ebe75 ### Jul 11, 2025 — scored 56.67 across 5 calls Seeley mocks anyone going back to Kyle Pitts, treating him as a tight end who will burn drafters again, while touting Trey Benson as a discounted value who remains the clear backup to James Connor. He also calls out late-round picks like Justice Hill, Rashad Bateman and Romeo Doubs as upside-less bench wastes. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/98137bb9-928a-4022-9e69-99386656d01a ### Jun 22, 2025 — scored 34.72 across 6 calls Jake has Christian McCaffrey as his RB4 and a back-end first-round pick, views Ashton Jeanty as more of a back-end RB1 than a mid-first pick, likes Brashard Smith as a late-round flier, and sees Breece Hall as a bust risk at his RB13 cost, projecting him as a back-end RB2 while expecting Justin Fields to run for around eight touchdowns. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2bbdd89b-368f-48b9-b389-80b41cd742a5 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=jake-ciely