# JP Acosta — prediction record JP Acosta appears on the Around the NFL podcast, where he covers the league through tier rankings, power rankings, and preseason wagering discussions. His predictions span the full calendar — from draft positioning and player movement to Super Bowl picks — with a particular eye on teams like the Chargers, Commanders, and Texans. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 53% - **MissedTakes Score:** 12.42 - **Graded articles:** 19 - **Graded individual calls:** 141 - **Clarity:** 92.54% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (19) ### May 20, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Acosta takes the Texans to beat the Bills in Week 1 and also likes the Rams over the 49ers, backs the Jaguars over 8.5 wins, picks Denver to win the AFC West and reach the Super Bowl, the Rams as NFC champs and Super Bowl winners, the Packers as a sleeper, and goes Dak Prescott for MVP, Makai Limon for OROY and Sonny Styles for DROY. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/51778b72-b612-41b6-a1df-b1a081dd9f62 ### Apr 24, 2026 — scored 41.34 across 2 calls Acosta's bold prediction for day two is that LSU's Garrett Nussmeier will be the third quarterback selected, landing with the Arizona Cardinals (though not at pick 34). He also projected Arvell Reese to play inside linebacker for the Giants and named R Mason Thomas as a fit for the 49ers at pick 33. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dbdf6966-3c19-4aaf-996a-985d37c1b13b ### Apr 20, 2026 — scored 81.78 across 16 calls In the show's first-round mock draft, JP Acosta made the odd-numbered picks, starting with Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall to Vegas and running through Blake Miller to the Patriots at 31. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1675a984-a8fa-449e-876d-c8dfca7d8bb6 ### Apr 10, 2026 — scored 58.12 across 17 calls Acosta made the even-numbered picks in the 2026 first-round mock: Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Carnell Tate to the Titans at 4, Monroe Freeling to the Browns at 6, David Bailey to the Saints at 8, Caleb Downs to the Bengals at 10, Avieon Terrell to the Cowboys at 12, Vega Ioane to the Ravens at 14, Mekhi Lemon to the Jets at 16, Jermod McCoy to the Vikings at 18, Keldric Faulk to the Cowboys at 20, R Mason Thomas to the Chargers at 22, Jordan Tyson to the Browns at 24, Caden McDonald to the Bills at 26, Blake Miller to the Texans at 28, Zion Young to the Dolphins at 30, and CJ Allen to the Seahawks at 32. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3d55caff-428d-4d40-8a9d-44e86988fd90 ### Apr 8, 2026 — scored 39.16 across 5 calls Acosta offers draft-range calls on several prospects: Mike Washington sneaking into the top 100, a cluster of nose tackles going late Day 1/Day 2, Dylan Thieneman rising to Day 1, Arizona safeties on Day 2, Jayshawn Barham as a Day 2/early Day 3 pick, and Jermaine McCoy as the first cornerback drafted with all three top corners going in the first round. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/50432c43-14c4-408e-9d34-a84c73168ef6 ### Mar 18, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Acosta sorted all 32 teams into tiers for 2026: Seattle, the Rams and Denver as his Super Bowl favorites; New England, Detroit, Green Bay, Houston and Philadelphia as playoff teams; Jacksonville, Chicago and the Chargers as 'hipster' Super Bowl contenders; and Washington, New Orleans and Tennessee as turnaround candidates. He also predicted the Raiders take Fernando Mendoza first overall and that Minnesota could win 12 games with Kyler Murray. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/489a59fc-86e5-4e76-9650-648bcee043f4 ### Mar 16, 2026 — scored 78.93 across 3 calls The co-host endorsed several of the mock's selections, most firmly that Cleveland takes tackle Monroe Freeling at No. 6, that Carnell Tate lands with the Saints, and that he too would pick Caleb Downs for the Bengals at No. 10. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/102ddffc-56e9-4c20-a62a-06130429cf28 ### Mar 2, 2026 — scored 62.25 across 20 calls Acosta gave draft ranges for combine risers — Nussmeier in the third round, Kenyon Sadiq in round one, Chris Johnson in round two — and made picks 2, 4, 6 and every other selection in a post-combine first-round mock draft. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f4ecf30e-8a7a-43e8-8ba6-de0aae7579bc ### Feb 25, 2026 — scored 64.99 across 10 calls Acosta says Peter Woods and Caleb Banks will be the first two defensive tackles off the board, bets on Christian Miller sneaking into the first round, has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall as the clear QB1 with Ty Simpson QB2, Kenyan Suik as TE1 and Makai Lemmon as his WR1, expects Caleb Lomu to weigh around 308 pounds, and pegs Munro Freeling as a candidate to be the first offensive lineman drafted with Maxi Amator sneaking into the back of round one; he calls Jermaine McCoy a sure-fire CB1 if healthy. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/349e870d-fa16-4208-a92c-4cddb965e7b4 ### Feb 18, 2026 — scored 66.91 across 5 calls Acosta names five favorite 2026 draft prospects, projecting draft ranges for each: R Mason Thomas late first/early second, Trayden Stukes as a day-two pick, Oscar Delp around round four, plus praise for Jonah Coleman and Josiah Trotter (whom he'd see in the top 50 mix per co-host). https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/56a3ee7d-dad5-434f-b7ff-685dc6bf445c ### Feb 10, 2026 — scored 40 across 1 call Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/17ab1ec5-a2f1-41c6-a6df-a0e6d949351b ### Feb 5, 2026 — scored 92.85 across 2 calls Acosta picks the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl over the Patriots by a score of 27-17, saying Seattle pulls away late because its defense is too good. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5ed62145-56cd-40c8-a0bc-97bf959e7bb4 ### Feb 3, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Reviewing Senior Bowl risers, Acosta pegged Western Michigan edge Na'Dame Tucker as a late Day 2/early Day 3 pick and Missouri receiver Kevin Coleman Jr. as an early Day 3 pick, and said Ohio State defensive tackle Kayden McDonald will be a first-round selection. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a919c346-690f-486f-8a84-a03ce1cd97b4 ### Jan 21, 2026 — scored 35.35 across 2 calls JP leaned toward the Rams beating the Seahawks in the NFC Championship, treated Ty Simpson as the class's first quarterback off the board, and made several draft projections for Senior Bowl and Shrine Bowl prospects. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e09cb607-1091-49a8-8571-5a65a252d3b9 ### Jan 15, 2026 — scored 71.75 across 6 calls JP picked the Bills, Seahawks (roughly 17-10), Patriots and Rams in the divisional round, and offered several 2026 draft projections including Ty Simpson as a first-rounder and Jonah Coleman as the class's second running back. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/60853e84-f20a-4a0b-8ac0-2c6553c4b3dc ### Jan 8, 2026 — scored 3 across 25 calls JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/660e3494-2b0b-415e-beb7-9e3bf3464e30 ### Jan 6, 2026 — scored 52.56 across 13 calls JP walked through the entire playoff bracket, taking the Patriots, Texans and Jaguars in the AFC wild card round, the Jaguars over the Texans in the AFC Championship, the Rams out of the NFC, and the Rams to beat the Jaguars in the Super Bowl. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d775dafd-364c-4845-984a-1cd605272670 ### Jan 2, 2026 — scored 70 across 10 calls JP picked Carolina, Seattle, Baltimore, Denver, Jacksonville, New England, Detroit, the Rams and Kansas City in Week 18, and said the Patriots will likely end up with the AFC's No. 2 seed. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e84ab242-8758-43af-b850-d5651a0d7890 ### May 19, 2025 — scored 51.92 across 1 call Acosta made the odd-numbered picks in the head-coach draft, naming Andy Reid the best coach in the NFL, Dan Campbell third, Kyle Shanahan fifth, and continuing down to Brian Daboll at 25. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c84ddac3-964c-40fe-a238-31130b5f9e4f --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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