# LaVar Arrington — prediction record LaVar Arrington was the second overall pick in the 2000 NFL Draft, selected by the Washington Redskins after a college career at Penn State. He played linebacker for seven seasons in the NFL, also spending time with the New York Giants. Since retiring, Arrington has built a long broadcasting career — he worked Redskins pregame and postgame coverage on Comcast SportsNet starting in 2007, hosted "The LaVar Arrington Show with Chad Dukes" on 106.7 The Fan in Washington, and later joined NFL Network's NFL AM program in 2014. He spent time as a football analyst on FS1's "Speak For Yourself" before teaming up with Brady Quinn and Jonas Knox in September 2021 for "2 Pros and a Cup of Joe," Fox Sports Radio's morning drive show. On the podcast, Arrington regularly makes picks against the spread and offers takes on everything from NFL rosters and divisional races to the Combine and surprise teams. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 47.67% - **MissedTakes Score:** -7.76 - **Graded articles:** 16 - **Graded individual calls:** 90 - **Clarity:** 100% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (16) ### Sep 18, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Arrington picked the Bears over the Vikings and then went to money lines, taking the Steelers to win in New England, the Bengals to win in Houston, the Broncos over the Jaguars, and following Jonas onto the Rams over the Giants. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e3de676f-cc70-4b5d-83ae-61333921c385 ### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls Arrington picked the Steelers over the Falcons, the Bengals to cover against the Buccaneers, the Texans on the money line over the Bills, and the Giants to upset the Cowboys. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9a5a37b7-ef05-43b5-8379-5c353bf1986b ### Dec 19, 2025 — scored 60 across 5 calls In the Week 16 picks segment, LaVar took the Packers on the money line at Chicago, the Panthers on the money line against Tampa Bay, the Broncos to cover against Jacksonville, the Patriots on the money line at Baltimore, and the 49ers to cover at Indianapolis. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fcaa5ee-7cda-48cf-8ccd-541c8c7cfbec ### Nov 14, 2025 — scored 0 across 5 calls LaVar Arrington took moneyline picks on Seattle, Detroit, Minnesota, Kansas City and the Chargers for Week 11. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/241773e6-6cb5-406b-9f82-381fa71876ae ### Nov 7, 2025 — scored 25 across 4 calls Arrington took Tampa Bay to cover against New England, the Jaguars to cover at Houston, San Francisco with the points against the Rams, and Philadelphia on the moneyline at Green Bay. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dc7d2203-39ae-4157-8c82-349ad8b6da70 ### Oct 31, 2025 — scored 60 across 5 calls Arrington picked the Vikings, Steelers, Falcons, Broncos and Chiefs in his weekly against-the-spread selections. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/840ba92b-2c62-4583-a9db-5d2714f6cdf3 ### Oct 24, 2025 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls Arrington took the Ravens to cover against the Bears, picked the Cowboys on the money line to win outright in Denver, and picked Green Bay to cover at Pittsburgh. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/450de42e-f28e-4a32-b470-c33e161452b0 ### Oct 17, 2025 — scored 20 across 5 calls Arrington's Week 7 picks: Rams over the Jaguars, Vikings on the money line against the Eagles, Chargers over the Colts, Buccaneers getting points at Detroit, and the Texans on the money line at Seattle. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b3bd722a-686e-4335-9abf-93086a706929 ### Sep 26, 2025 — scored 70 across 5 calls Arrington expects Penn State to exploit Oregon's run defense and cover the three-and-a-half point spread. In the NFL picks segment he took Minnesota to cover at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia over Tampa Bay, the Rams over the Colts, Kansas City on the money line over Baltimore, and Dallas plus seven against Green Bay. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af8c5ecd-8745-404c-91c4-5074ab6758de ### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 68 across 5 calls Arrington sees the Dolphins winning only three or four more games the rest of the way, expects Baltimore to beat Miami, money-lined the Broncos outright at the Chargers and the Lions outright in Baltimore, and agreed the Chiefs will blow out the Giants. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/05604dc3-2463-48d5-94b7-e226e53a304b ### Sep 12, 2025 — scored 33.33 across 6 calls Arrington rejects the Raiders hype ("putting makeup on a pig") and lays out Washington's upcoming slate as winnable, saying the Commanders should beat the Raiders, Falcons and Bears. For Week 2 he takes the Saints on the money line over the 49ers, the Cowboys over the Giants, and the Chiefs on the money line against the Eagles. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a81b7948-a9b4-44e5-8773-4611836b5c48 ### Sep 5, 2025 — scored 100 across 5 calls Arrington money-lined the Chargers, took the Steelers to cover, the Broncos, the Packers to cover, and money-lined Buffalo. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/19a6bd99-fdb3-4670-99e5-7beae20d941f ### Sep 4, 2025 — scored 31.88 across 8 calls Arrington gave AFC division finishing orders without records: Bengals over Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Cleveland; Buffalo winning the East by a long shot with Miami second, the Jets third and New England last; Houston winning the South ahead of Jacksonville, Tennessee and Indianapolis; and the Chargers winning the West over Kansas City, Denver and Las Vegas. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0df4851e-f78c-47d3-a013-ed3b9890e86c ### Sep 4, 2025 — scored 37.5 across 8 calls LaVar Arrington picked Minnesota to win the NFC North, Philadelphia the East, Tampa Bay the South and Arizona the West, with Seattle finishing last in the West. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8222d658-922f-4afc-9e1f-a0859361df61 ### Sep 4, 2025 — scored 31.58 across 19 calls Arrington picked division winners in both conferences, had Baltimore beating Buffalo to reach the Super Bowl and Philadelphia beating Green Bay in the NFC, with the Ravens winning it all. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/deeb2973-d1ea-40be-972a-f0e36732e76c ### Apr 25, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls Arrington argued the Giants will keep both Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux rather than moving on from either. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/78a58951-dd6b-4bd0-91f4-fecb5e77c994 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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