# Marcus Mosher — prediction record Marcus Mosher writes for The 33rd Team, where he tracks weekly power rankings across the NFL season and keeps an eye on fantasy sleepers, roster movement, and divisional races. His coverage touches teams from Buffalo to Tampa Bay, with a particular interest in quarterbacks sorting out their futures. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 80.31% - **MissedTakes Score:** 24.55 - **Graded articles:** 16 - **Graded individual calls:** 97 - **Clarity:** 100% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (16) ### Dec 31, 2024 — scored 99.7 across 4 calls Mosher's Week 18 power rankings for the 2024 season, ordering all 32 NFL teams with Kansas City first and the Giants last. Along the way he predicts Washington beats Dallas in Week 18, expects Atlanta to miss the playoffs and Indianapolis to miss as well, says Houston will host a playoff game as a likely heavy underdog, expects the Rams to host a home playoff game, and thinks Jerod Mayo could be a one-and-done coach. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/86e3bb4d-8915-43e1-bc2f-d967ab66ed20 ### Dec 3, 2024 — scored 82.32 across 6 calls Mosher's Week 14 power rankings place Detroit first and Jacksonville last, and along the way he calls the Ravens and Broncos playoff-bound, the Seahawks heavy favorites in the NFC West, the Saints eliminated, and the Giants/Jaguars in contention for the No. 1 pick. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5696c081-ca1f-4cac-b49b-caafbd9931bb ### Nov 26, 2024 — scored 86.55 across 10 calls Mosher's Week 13 power rankings keep the Lions at No. 1 and move the Broncos into the top 10, while also projecting Detroit for the NFC North and top NFC seed, Houston to win the AFC South, Seattle to win the NFC West and host a playoff game, playoff spots for Green Bay, Denver and the Chargers, and nine-plus wins for Tampa Bay. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1ad851d9-71fd-4acb-90ab-039754a3c280 ### Oct 15, 2024 — scored 95.34 across 4 calls Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 7, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and adds that the Texans could wrap up the AFC South by Thanksgiving, the Steelers should make the playoffs, the Cardinals are not a playoff team, and Mason Rudolph will eventually replace Will Levis as the Titans' starter. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9dcca70a-8ba5-4c7c-ba89-fa091e37162e ### Oct 8, 2024 — scored 64.83 across 6 calls Mosher's Week 6 power rankings place the undefeated Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and along the way he calls the Commanders clear-cut NFC East favorites, tabs the Lions and Buccaneers as playoff-caliber teams, and predicts the Bears will make the playoffs. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a46e51b6-127c-4efe-9800-c5533ee72e59 ### Oct 1, 2024 — scored 95.07 across 3 calls Mosher publishes his Week 5 NFL power rankings for 2024, with the Chiefs first and Jaguars last. Along the way he predicts the Buccaneers hold onto the NFC South, the Seahawks could steal the NFC West, and the Jaguars will pick inside the top five of the 2025 draft. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7104d969-9ed4-478c-a93f-2584b4002826 ### Sep 17, 2024 — scored 53.47 across 7 calls Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams entering Week 3 of the 2024 season, with the Chiefs on top and the Panthers last, and mixes in forecasts: the Bills winning the AFC East, the Texans potentially reaching the AFC Championship, the Steelers starting 4-0 and winning the AFC North, the Saints and Buccaneers as playoff teams, the Cardinals as an NFC sleeper, and the Jaguars falling to 0-3. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/61ba9622-90b3-4fb2-acfd-9e7092fe4634 ### Sep 10, 2024 — scored 90.95 across 4 calls Mosher's Week 2 power rankings place the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Panthers last. Along the way he suggests the Chargers look like a potential wild-card team, the Buccaneers could win the NFC South again, the Patriots may not be a playoff team, and Drew Lock will eventually replace Daniel Jones as the Giants' starter. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/857928a5-f3d3-4bb1-b455-43e02ba7269d ### Sep 3, 2024 — scored 81.16 across 10 calls Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1e689950-af1f-4607-a257-12018271cda0 ### Aug 5, 2024 — scored 74.86 across 8 calls Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/14c5ba97-a935-4b61-acf1-539ae30c9d2f ### May 27, 2024 — scored 63.89 across 3 calls Mosher names three tight ends as 2024 breakout candidates: Luke Musgrave (whom he expects to be Green Bay's starting tight end), Jelani Woods (predicting 700-plus receiving yards and double-digit touchdowns), and Cade Otton. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1cbfa23d-5b33-40c4-90a2-ed0fc704209f ### May 21, 2024 — scored 78.77 across 9 calls Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ba683c67-ddac-4f86-a7cf-54efadfb8209 ### May 16, 2024 — scored 70.05 across 8 calls Mosher names four running backs as 2024 breakout candidates: Zamir White as the Raiders' lead back, Chase Brown in an expanded Bengals role, Brian Robinson Jr. posting huge numbers in Washington's new offense, and Rico Dowdle leading the Cowboys in touches with a 1,000-yard season. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/45e98ada-878b-4cc5-94c6-ceb8b10b91fa ### May 13, 2024 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls Mosher names Will Levis, Aidan O'Connell and Drew Lock as the three quarterbacks most likely to break out in 2024, arguing improved supporting casts and opportunity set each up for a leap; he also suggests the Raiders could be a sneaky-fun team in the AFC if O'Connell wins the job. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/73b95073-de32-4ac4-854f-cb64be2497be ### Jan 26, 2024 — scored 87.5 across 1 call Mosher ranks the top nine running backs scheduled to hit free agency in March 2024, with Saquon Barkley first and Josh Jacobs second. He also expects Derrick Henry to sign a one-year deal with a Super Bowl contender. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d514bd17-835a-4380-af58-5a786f8101dc ### Jan 19, 2024 — scored 97.27 across 11 calls Mosher ranks the top nine quarterbacks expected to hit free agency in March 2024, with Kirk Cousins first and Baker Mayfield second, and forecasts where most of them will land — Mayfield back in Tampa Bay, Minshew back in Indianapolis, Darnold back in San Francisco as a backup, Winston staying in New Orleans as a backup and Huntley remaining a backup with Baltimore. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fc7b32fa-de85-476f-a424-7f0febc1a836 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher