# Matt Miller — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 63.72% - **MissedTakes Score:** 45.75 - **Graded articles:** 6 - **Graded individual calls:** 42 - **Clarity:** 100% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (6) ### Mar 31, 2026 — scored 64.3 across 26 calls In his 2026 seven-round mock draft, Miller has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Francis Mauigoa to Arizona at No. 3, Jeremiah Love to Tennessee at No. 4, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Carnell Tate to the Browns at No. 6, and a series of other first- and second-round picks including Ty Simpson to the Jets at the top of round two. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dbff1380-76e8-4878-8649-b34dfba4d3ed ### Mar 17, 2026 — scored 81.62 across 5 calls ESPN draft analyst Matt Miller laid out his expectations for the upcoming draft: Carnell Tate goes somewhere between picks four and nine (not lasting to Miami at 11), Jeremiah Love goes between four and seven with the two Notre Dame backs as the first two running backs off the board, Jadarian Price is a top-40 pick, Arkansas' Mike Washington is a second-rounder, Ty Simpson's likelier landing spot is round two, and Miami right tackle Francis Mauigoa won't fall far past the top five. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b35d2856-f3ed-4ec3-973a-deef271fd5c8 ### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 90.36 across 6 calls Miller's mock draft has Mendoza first to the Raiders, Arbel Reese second to the Jets, Miami tackle Mala Noah third to Arizona, Bane fourth to the Titans, Cornell Tate to the Giants, and Jeremiah Love to New Orleans at No. 8, with Ty Simpson barely a first-rounder. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8f113e43-2ba1-4fec-b4f5-5dfbe737112f ### Feb 25, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call Speaking at the 2026 combine, ESPN's Matt Miller called Notre Dame running back Jeremiah Love his No. 1 overall player and Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles a top-eight player, and predicted Styles would test well in Indianapolis with a vertical over 41 inches and a 40 time in the low 4.5s or high 4.4s. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/396efd32-4d78-41f3-9232-24a1f1416460 ### Feb 23, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Miller says Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick and hypes Oregon tight end 'Kenyan' (Kenyon Sadiq) as a first-round pick who could be the best performer at the combine with a vertical over 41 inches. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/640967ae-d728-4579-b5cb-edf4a4ed0744 ### Feb 21, 2026 — scored 42.99 across 3 calls Miller expects a consequential Chiefs offseason with Chris Jones potentially traded, predicts Kyler Murray gets traded, and offers draft-board opinions: Jeremiah Love as his top overall player, Makai Lemon as his top receiver ranked eighth overall with a ceiling around pick five, Keldrick Faulk around 20th on his board, plus combine expectations for Reuben Bain's and David Bailey's weights and Malik Muhammad's 40 time. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6ba84706-e282-4d5c-b0d3-fa5e1043eac9 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=matt-miller