# Mel Kiper — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 82.15% - **MissedTakes Score:** 35.13 - **Graded articles:** 9 - **Graded individual calls:** 66 - **Clarity:** 100% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (9) ### Mar 21, 2026 — scored 73.86 across 19 calls Kiper's post-free-agency mock draft, as relayed on the show, assigns specific prospects to specific picks through the top 20, including Fernando Mendoza at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5 and CJ Allen to the Cowboys at No. 20. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/08c37955-b295-45c8-8d32-b0223c0b02b9 ### Mar 20, 2026 — scored 80.52 across 1 call In his latest mock draft, Kiper has the Lions selecting Alabama offensive tackle Kaiden Proctor at pick No. 17. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/081cde7c-9ceb-4e9d-9f24-57e83a9c4d42 ### Feb 27, 2026 — scored 80.99 across 9 calls Kiper's latest mock draft, as relayed on the show, has Caleb Downs second to the Jets, Karnell Tate sixth to the Browns, Spencer Fano fifth to the Giants, Mauigoa 11th to the Dolphins, Jeremiah Love ninth to the Chiefs, Ty Simpson 20th to the Steelers, plus Makai Lemmon, Jordan Tyson and Denzel Boston in the first round. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/13fb641c-9c62-425e-9e95-171c8029dc5b ### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 67.71 across 1 call In his latest mock draft, Kiper has Ohio State safety Caleb Downs going No. 2 overall to the Jets. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/27322542-0479-415c-b8ce-85c4912e8359 ### Feb 25, 2026 — scored 87.82 across 3 calls Kiper's latest mock draft, as described on the show, had Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 to Las Vegas, safety Caleb Downs No. 2 to the Jets, Arbel Reese No. 4 to Tennessee, and edge rusher Ruben Behn to Cincinnati in the first round. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7d728bf6-00fc-484d-a015-6a2577e17e90 ### Feb 18, 2026 — scored 89.98 across 9 calls Kiper's first mock draft has Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Arvell Reese second to the Jets, a third pick to Arizona, Carnell Tate fifth to the Giants, Jeremiah Love ninth to Kansas City, Caleb Downs 10th to Cincinnati, Sonny Styles to Dallas, and Ty Simpson at 16 to the Jets. He also says Dante Moore will be in the No. 1 pick conversation with Arch Manning next year. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e57bdb08-61b8-4473-afd4-91fbcf2f8661 ### Jan 25, 2026 — scored 90.26 across 2 calls As relayed on the show, Kiper's mock draft has the Cowboys taking Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles at No. 12 and Miami pass rusher Akeem Mesador with their second first-round pick. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dbb148a7-7fd2-4eb4-b0b2-ab15e7256241 ### Apr 8, 2025 — scored 72.9 across 14 calls Kiper's mock draft 4.0, as read out on the show, has Cam Ward going No. 1, Travis Hunter No. 2 to Cleveland, Shedeur Sanders sliding to No. 9 to New Orleans, and a full first round plus second-round picks including a Bears haul of Tyler Warren, Walter Nolen and TreVeyon Henderson. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ff6ed02d-d1cd-419b-b56d-2f77a71f4d31 ### Feb 25, 2025 — scored 83 across 8 calls As relayed by Dan Patrick, Kiper's mock draft has the Titans taking Abdul Carter, Browns taking Cam Ward, Giants taking Travis Hunter, Patriots taking Will Campbell, Jaguars taking Mason Graham, Raiders taking Ashton Jeanty, Jets taking Shedeur Sanders, and Saints taking Tyler Warren. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/317efa50-d46c-466b-b488-fde0e46574f4 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mel-kiper