# Mike Florio — prediction record

Mike Florio is the creator and Editor in Chief of Pro Football Talk, where he covers NFL news daily. His work appears across NBC Sports, CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated, and podcasts like Around the NFL and The Rich Eisen Podcast, ranging from power rankings and game picks to player movement and contract news.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 77.47%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 54.22
- **Graded articles:** 7
- **Graded individual calls:** 26
- **Clarity:** 99.29%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (7)

### Sep 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

In a video blurb previewing Colts vs. Chiefs, Florio is described as picking Kansas City to win, crediting Patrick Mahomes and Kenneth Walker for pushing the team to victory.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bb29858b-b39b-4a5d-a741-277bea26c901

### Sep 9, 2026 — scored 61.46 across 16 calls

Florio gives score predictions for every Week 1 game of the 2026 NFL season, including an opening-night upset by the Patriots in Seattle and narrow home wins for the Giants and Chiefs.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4b20f46e-ebc0-462f-9e7a-2ab82f91a2ea

### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cf6258b2-b55f-4f50-84f9-24269a5a006a

### Aug 18, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Florio reads Todd Monken's practice and preseason plans as a hint that Deshaun Watson has already been chosen as Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback over Shedeur Sanders.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/79e617bb-3336-4675-8e3d-5c95a7874baa

### Apr 1, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Florio wants no part of George Kittle even inside the top 10 tight ends, lays out a tight end order with McBride and Bowers first and LaPorta pushed to five, is off Patrick Mahomes as a fantasy quarterback while still expecting him to start Week 1, and thinks Ty Simpson is now a first-round pick who would take over in Arizona by October.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c02f9a59-7ebe-4d97-858c-1b80a13a1297

### Mar 17, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Florio made 12 picks in the three-round, 12-team fantasy mock draft (Bijan Robinson, JSN, CeeDee Lamb, Jonathan Taylor, Nabers, London, AJ Brown, Jeremiah Love, Chase Brown, McConkey, Rashee Rice, Higgins), and separately predicted Jalen Waddle settles as a top-20 receiver, that AJ Brown could finish top five, that Marquise Brown fills the Eagles' WR3 role, that Chase Brown is underrated, that Ladd McConkey breaks out, and that Jeremiah Love goes in the top 10 of the actual NFL draft.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/dab4e952-f15c-4543-a171-a0236c4d2961

### Aug 21, 2025 — scored 82.5 across 4 calls

Florio drafted CeeDee Lamb, Malik Nabers, A.J. Brown, De'Von Achane, Trey McBride and TreVeyon Henderson, calling Achane his RB4, McBride his TE1 for the season, and Henderson an RB1 this year. He also said Jackson Dart eventually takes over as the Giants' starter.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0c752df7-7972-4a6d-8b75-7941f81164c0


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=mike-florio
