# Natalie Kerwin — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 83.54%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 50
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 3
- **Clarity:** 80%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Apr 8, 2026 — scored 79.26 across 2 calls

Natalie's Lions mock pick at No. 17 in the 2026 draft was Utah offensive tackle Spencer Fano, with Penn State guard Olaivavega Ioane as her backup selection at that spot.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/503dc5ef-fda4-43d4-b916-2b3d3f140174

### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 87.81 across 1 call

Kerwin predicted the Lions should and would address the interior offensive line with their pick at No. 17, naming the Penn State offensive lineman (Olaivavega Ioane) as the target.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f2a359a7-6ff2-460d-ae5d-e777b3df1fd5


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=natalie-kerwin