# Nathan Jahnke — prediction record Nathan Jahnke is the Lead Fantasy Football Analyst at Pro Football Focus, where he's spent more than 15 years in various leadership roles, including Director of Player Participation and Director of Analytics. His background spans fantasy football analysis, football research, software development, and analytics. At PFF, Jahnke covers the full spectrum of fantasy content — weekly rankings, waiver wire recommendations, usage reports, and game recaps with immediate fantasy takeaways. His predictions range across depth chart projections, roster spots, draft positioning, and player finishes, covering teams from the Chargers to the Jets and players like Tucker Kraft, Kenneth Walker III, and DeVonta Smith. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 74.29% - **MissedTakes Score:** -8.3 - **Graded articles:** 11 - **Graded individual calls:** 53 - **Clarity:** 98.72% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (11) ### Aug 30, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls PFF's preseason usage recap makes a number of depth-chart and roster projections, including nine rookie receivers slotting as top-three options on their teams, sleeper tight end usage, and specific depth-chart placements for Cardinals, Falcons and Ravens players. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8f52d1f8-91ed-459c-99a7-30c2d3fb38e0 ### Aug 30, 2026 — scored 77.78 across 18 calls An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 ### Aug 29, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call PFF's preseason fantasy recap projects Colts roles: Keenan Allen as the starting Z receiver with Josh Downs in the slot, Laquon Treadwell as the backup X, and seventh-round rookie Seth McGowan as the favorite to be Jonathan Taylor's backup ahead of DJ Giddens. On the Lions, Tom Kennedy appears to have locked up a roster spot with Greg Dortch next most likely. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/33c062c4-069c-4f3e-a9c9-bcdaa9048149 ### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 72.73 across 11 calls PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/265cbdba-b0e0-4f80-9665-a4ca5aaec53e ### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 6 calls An unsigned PFF fantasy preseason recap makes a series of depth-chart and roster-spot calls: Roman Wilson wins the Steelers' third receiver job over Germie Bernard, Robert Tonyan makes Pittsburgh's roster as the third tight end, Kyle Williams and Efton Chism III stick in New England, Mike Washington Jr. is the Raiders' primary backup back, Jalen Nailor stays a Raiders starter, Kaelon Black leads the 49ers' backup running back competition, and Charlie Kolar is the Chargers' top tight end with top-12 fantasy upside. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e9e8a675-165c-4246-a19c-eec9f5dfccf4 ### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 83.33 across 6 calls PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/760054fd-7815-4b86-a9e3-bc9bdb0a730b ### Aug 22, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call PFF's fantasy football preseason recap projects depth-chart outcomes, roster spots and fantasy value for numerous players across several preseason games, including Chig Okonkwo's expanded role in Washington, Ja'Kobi Lane as Baltimore's WR3, Malachi Fields winning the Giants' starting X job, and Zachariah Branch being a fantasy bust relative to his late-round cost. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/22a4578b-eb92-41d2-820b-1a7eaa2e4e2f ### Aug 16, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls An unsigned PFF preseason snap-count review that draws depth-chart, roster-spot and fantasy conclusions from the first week of preseason games — naming starters and backups across nearly every team, flagging sleepers such as Keaton Mitchell, Tyjae Spears, Jahan Dotson and Greg Dulcich, and fading players like Mike Gesicki, Pat Freiermuth, Gunnar Helm and Cam Skattebo. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/45c8bf54-1a8e-45dd-909f-6e4c60f09f95 ### Aug 14, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call PFF's unsigned fantasy football preseason recap draws depth-chart and roster conclusions from preseason usage — TeSlaa as the Lions' No. 3 receiver, DeMario Douglas as the Patriots' clear No. 3, Jeremiyah Love ahead of Tyler Allgeier in Arizona, Kimani Vidal third and Keaton Mitchell second in the Chargers' backfield, Marlin Klein as Houston's second tight end — while calling Mitchell a top sleeper and advising against drafting Gunnar Helm, Mike Gesicki and Pat Freiermuth. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5c9a30bb-1642-4fd3-b451-5d8fb6a7e7f2 ### Aug 7, 2026 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls PFF's preseason recap projects Xavier Legette as the clear No. 3 receiver in Carolina after Chris Brazzell II's season-ending injury, doubts Jimmy Horn Jr. makes the 53-man roster, expects Ja'Tavion Sanders' role to shrink (with Mitchell Evans ahead of him), and sees Bam Knight as a candidate for Arizona's RB3 job. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/04a27c8a-6177-4389-9287-2279e87a6c4a ### Jul 31, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call An unsigned PFF fantasy piece names Ashton Jeanty, Kenneth Walker III and Omarion Hampton as high-upside running backs outside the elite tier who could finish as fantasy's overall RB1 in 2026, while flagging Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson as the favorites for that finish. It also tempers Jeanty's outlook due to expected goal-line competition and gives Walker top-five upside in Kansas City. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fb305f04-89ff-476b-a6b2-52ba3616bf44 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=nathan-jahnke