# Ollie Connolly — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 51.38% - **MissedTakes Score:** 15.21 - **Graded articles:** 5 - **Graded individual calls:** 16 - **Clarity:** 77.27% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (5) ### Apr 17, 2026 — scored 27.77 across 4 calls Connelly assesses the 2026 draft class: he sees Jeremiah Love as a top-ten most productive player at running back with an Ezekiel Elliott-to-Bijan/McCaffrey range, projects Fernando Mendoza as a top-8-to-12 starting QB in the league, pegs Ty Simpson as a top-of-the-second-round pick he'd only be comfortable taking in the third, and slots various tight ends and late running backs into specific rounds. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/451a3983-ef51-4051-988d-6842523d646b ### Apr 15, 2026 — scored 67.4 across 3 calls Connolly says Ruben Bain will go between the seventh and twelfth picks with 12 as his floor, floats David Bailey as a possible No. 2 overall pick, values Messidor in the twenties, expects Jermad McCoy to be the first cornerback drafted, and believes Malachi Lawrence will end up the most impactful edge player of the class and a first-round pick. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3d3c51ef-e8cf-499d-9129-70db82b564aa ### Apr 2, 2026 — scored 94.7 across 3 calls Connelly expects Texas linebacker Anthony Hill to be drafted in the second round despite his reservations, sees Caden McDonald sneaking into the back of the first round and Lee Hunter going in the second, and warns that Caleb Banks — because of the recurring foot injury and disappearing stretches — will break the heart of whoever drafts him. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/05eeca12-bd89-4432-a2c3-60a00d3f42b1 ### Dec 23, 2025 — scored 58.33 across 3 calls Connolly ranked his Coach of the Year top five with Kyle Shanahan first, Mike Vrabel second, Mike McDonald third, Liam Cohen fourth and Ben Johnson fifth, naming Shanahan his winner. He also predicted the Broncos would blow out the Chiefs on Christmas night. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c07e055c-4ff1-47bf-9062-548b240402ae ### Apr 14, 2025 — scored 33.33 across 3 calls Connolly agrees Shedeur Sanders likely lands in New Orleans, says Cam Ward goes first overall, projects Travis Hunter's floor as a top-three NFL cornerback, is out on Mason Graham as a top-10 pick, thinks Donovan Ezeiruaku slips to the second round, doesn't want James Pearce, and expects Malaki Starks to be taken around 25. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a90843a1-fdd8-4bae-a6de-8908630eafea --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=ollie-connolly