# Pat Fitzmaurice — prediction record Pat Fitzmaurice is the managing editor at FantasyPros and BettingPros, where he shapes the editorial direction for two of fantasy sports' most-visited destinations. A Milwaukee native and Green Bay Packers fan, he's built his career across outlets including Pro Football Weekly, Tribune Media Services, 4for4, and The Football Girl. His work at FantasyPros covers the full spectrum of fantasy football decision-making — sleepers, busts, draft strategy, and the preseason tea-leaf reading that separates the prepared from the hopeful. He's also a regular voice on podcasts and video segments, including appearances on The Herd with Colin Cowherd, breaking down the players and picks that define each fantasy season. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 58.03% - **MissedTakes Score:** 47.24 - **Graded articles:** 23 - **Graded individual calls:** 168 - **Clarity:** 98.57% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (23) ### Sep 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/70a7844a-2fb6-44d7-814f-30ec9fbcc26d ### Aug 28, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0653fc24-437c-4aba-89ee-f1f417e1983d ### Aug 21, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bf77c0-c921-4593-997e-8405355274e9 ### Aug 6, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Fitzmaurice names Kyler Murray a fantasy sleeper/value pick for 2026, expecting him to start for the Vikings in Week 1 and outperform his draft cost. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f5ff8597-87d4-4628-a5fa-d0ccc75cf7ab ### Apr 19, 2026 — scored 66.03 across 10 calls Fitzmorris made 10 first-round mock picks, starting with Arvel Reese to the Cardinals at No. 3 and including Caleb Downs to Dallas at 12 and Dillon Thieneman to Pittsburgh at 21. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/aba43566-0bad-4fb7-8ea2-04864c9c06e7 ### Mar 8, 2026 — scored 73.67 across 11 calls Fitzmorris made picks 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28 and 31 in the 2026 mock, ranked the top three receiver prospects Tate-Lemon-Tyson, said Caleb Downs won't fall to Day 2, and predicted Trey Hendrickson won't be back in Cincinnati. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3d0242f-bda2-45fd-82b3-7782bd29c69f ### Feb 20, 2026 — scored 69.46 across 13 calls Fitzmaurice made the even-numbered picks in the mock, sending Ruben Bain to the Jets at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at 5, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at 8, Spencer Fano to Miami at 11, Peter Woods to Baltimore at 14, Kadyn Proctor to Detroit at 17, TJ Parker to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Denzel Boston to Buffalo at 26, Monroe Freeling to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32. He also predicted Sadiq runs about a 4.5 at the combine and that Johnson really goes in the second round. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/2774200b-0a9f-4504-a398-49540ecb8c59 ### Feb 8, 2026 — scored 23.71 across 10 calls Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a61a436c-f178-40ce-aedd-fa92cbc80c82 ### Dec 26, 2025 — scored 20.24 across 7 calls Fitzmorris gave his own Week 17 ranks: Trevor Lawrence QB10 with Lamar Jackson just ahead, Caleb Williams outside startable range, Tyler Shuck QB11 (and a clear preference over Justin Herbert), Dallas Goedert TE10, Hunter Henry TE13 and Taysom Hill TE15. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c58acb47-4e9d-4693-af5f-fe09bb3a705a ### Nov 28, 2025 — scored 37.5 across 4 calls Fitzmorris backed Jacoby Brissett's passing volume with a QB11 ranking, dropped Brock Purdy to QB18 in a bad Cleveland spot, ranked Mark Andrews as a top-six tight end against the Bengals, and cooled on Colston Loveland at TE17 versus Philadelphia. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ef817a08-fbe8-4e48-ab66-549d83f8f3a1 ### Oct 30, 2025 — scored 31.82 across 11 calls Fitzmorris gave his Week 9 wide receiver rankings, going higher than consensus on Rashee Rice, Michael Pittman, Tee Higgins, Wan'Dale Robinson and Jameson Williams while ranking both Jaguars receivers below consensus. He also said Travis Hunter overtaking Brian Thomas as Jacksonville's No. 1 receiver is fiction and ranked with the expectation Kyler Murray plays. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/fd61fc99-0f13-41bc-b8fd-6856410ec5ea ### Oct 1, 2025 — scored 40.91 across 11 calls Fitzmorris gave his own Week 5 wide receiver rankings, keeping Ja'Marr Chase as a low-end WR1 at No. 9, slotting the Chargers trio as Quentin Johnston 20/Ladd McConkey 22/Keenan Allen 23, and naming Malik Washington as his deeper play with Tyreek Hill out. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/368f26b5-c8f2-4a19-80a5-8f4208c53dc3 ### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 76.11 across 3 calls Fitzmaurice gave his own Week 3 running back rankings, notably placing Jordan Mason as an RB1 at No. 7, keeping Genty on consensus, and fading James Conner and Trevion Henderson; he also said Cam Skattaboo has taken over the Giants backfield with Tyrone Tracy as the No. 2. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5071a504-60d5-4bf7-a198-2617406c611d ### Sep 19, 2025 — scored 11.11 across 9 calls Fitzmorris laid out his Week 3 wide receiver ranks: Jefferson sixth, Brian Thomas Jr. tenth, AJ Brown 11th, Tee Higgins 24th, George Pickens 22nd, Rome Odunze 27th, Jaylen Waddle 32nd, plus Piersall 34, Ridley 35 and Jennings 37. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/20408879-5422-4077-9228-1211e6ad0901 ### Sep 13, 2025 — scored 58.33 across 6 calls Fitzmaurice expects Detroit to blow out Chicago, has aggressively moved Breece Hall and Travis Etienne up his rest-of-season running back ranks (both RB14, with Omarion Hampton at RB13), sees Emeka Egbuka as a rest-of-season WR27, and believes Kenneth Walker will reclaim the lead role in Seattle's backfield. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/09f22fbe-fcb9-4324-b6d7-d1e815e3e25a ### Sep 11, 2025 — scored 41.43 across 2 calls Fitzmaurice gave his own Week 2 wide receiver rankings, placing AJ Brown as a bounce-back WR9, Garrett Wilson at 12, Jameson Williams at 24, DK Metcalf down at 25, Calvin Ridley at 30 and Ricky Pearsall at 31. He also argued Chris Olave will be a playable WR3 all season. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9fbfb358-5b60-4857-8031-4405c2d1d316 ### Aug 30, 2025 — scored 57.89 across 19 calls Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 ### Jul 26, 2025 — scored 66.66 across 4 calls Fitzmorris calls rookie Panthers WR Tetairoa McMillan a major value relative to his ECR (WR28, 59 overall), ranking him WR21, and touts Drake May as a top-10 fantasy QB well ahead of his QB16 ECR. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4bf2eac4-6c92-494c-acef-93337e939b73 ### Jul 17, 2025 — scored 25 across 4 calls Fitzmorris names Bears RB Roschon Johnson a deep sleeper, arguing the rebuilt interior offensive line and Ben Johnson's scheme could make him a David Montgomery-style goal-line back. He also likes Browns rookie Dylan Sampson as a late-round talent bet and Panthers WR Jalen Coker as a late-round flyer, and would rather have Tyler Warren than Hunter Henry. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b0973377-92f1-4f9c-90f4-6c8134a092c8 ### Jul 5, 2025 — scored 44.1 across 12 calls Fitzmaurice ranks Darren Waller around TE40, touts T.J. Higgins as a low-end WR1 value, Kenneth Walker as a top-12 back if healthy, Stefon Diggs in the ninth round, Drake Maye as a QB1 finisher with big rushing upside, Luther Burden as an ADP-beater, and Javonte Williams as Dallas's lead back. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/bed875af-db54-4ebc-b3da-9102b06adea7 ### Jun 22, 2025 — scored 73.33 across 5 calls Fitz calls Christian McCaffrey the ultimate boom candidate, ranking him RB5 and drafting him around the 1-2 turn; he also likes Isaiah Pacheco as a small boom, believing Pacheco is still the Chiefs' best back and a bargain in the seventh or eighth round, while fading Breece Hall because of Aaron Glenn's committee talk and Justin Fields' effect on receiving work. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a9665527-8302-4059-b8e7-8964afe7a628 ### Jun 14, 2025 — scored 65.99 across 7 calls Fitzmorris ranks Chase Brown RB11 and expects him to remain Cincinnati's lead back, is far higher than the projections on Drake May (QB9, 700 rushing yards), and views Bucky Irving as an undervalued second-round pick who keeps the Tampa Bay lead job over Rachaad White. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/af9cf482-4575-4afb-a83c-8fcf9205d7ce ### May 17, 2025 — scored 31.06 across 16 calls Fitzmorris gave his personal ranks, pushing Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers (whom he calls a clear tier above all tight ends), Drake London, Mike Evans, Garrett Wilson, Chuba Hubbard and Aaron Jones above consensus while fading Christian McCaffrey, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice, DJ Moore and TJ Hockenson. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/316f2dfd-c096-416d-ae8a-6cb60715ceac --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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