# Pat McAfee — prediction record ## Record - **Accuracy:** 69.92% - **MissedTakes Score:** 17.5 - **Graded articles:** 4 - **Graded individual calls:** 21 - **Clarity:** 100% PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (4) ### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 60 across 5 calls In the show's weekly picks segment Pat took the Steelers at home over Atlanta, the Jaguars over Cleveland, the Raiders over Miami, the Packers at Minnesota and the Cowboys over the Giants. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d72ee420-9220-402c-9a25-44bc6ed8c477 ### Jan 23, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call McAfee picked New England to beat Denver in the AFC Championship Game, citing the Patriots defense. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/629d8e25-428b-4683-bc92-8dc7526e7001 ### Jan 16, 2026 — scored 75 across 4 calls McAfee predicted Matthew Stafford will win his first MVP award this season, saying he'll be on stage at the NFL Honors regardless of whether the Rams reach the Super Bowl. He also picked the Bills over the Broncos, the Patriots over the Texans, and said the Rams will win a close one in Chicago (while taking the Bears on the spread). https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/aed994b6-b4b4-4f85-8b25-795f67480c5a ### Dec 5, 2025 — scored 36.36 across 11 calls Pat made his week 14 NFL slate picks, taking the Colts, Bills, Buccaneers, Ravens, Seahawks, Jets, Browns, Commanders, Broncos, Bears, Rams and Texans. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c64b8458-860a-4a48-a44a-86f838783506 --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=pat-mcafee