# Paul Pabst — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 62.74%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 24.13
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 4
- **Clarity:** 88.89%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Jan 8, 2026 — scored 70.71 across 1 call

Pabst suggests Ty Simpson is currently the third-best quarterback in the draft class and might have to go late first or early second round.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e4ed7761-7c60-4948-97e9-f0aa34a87a57

### Feb 7, 2025 — scored 54.76 across 3 calls

Picked the Eagles to win the Super Bowl 27-24 in overtime with Jalen Hurts as MVP.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/85052683-73bd-4f67-af3c-9cf5e1ad1384


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=paul-pabst