# Peter Schrager — prediction record

Peter Schrager is an American sportscaster now at ESPN and ABC, where he appears on Get Up, First Take, The Pat McAfee Show, NFL Live, and SportsCenter. Before joining ESPN in April 2025, he was a founding host of NFL Network's weekday morning show Good Morning Football, alongside Kyle Brandt, Jason McCourty, and Jamie Erdahl, from its launch through March 2025. Earlier in his career, Schrager worked as an analyst with Fox Sports, contributed regularly to The Herd with Colin Cowherd and The Dan Patrick Show, and served as an editorial contributor for Showtime's Inside the NFL — which earned a Sports Emmy for Outstanding Studio Show in 2013. He's also authored two books, including the New York Times bestseller Out of the Blue with Victor Cruz.

His predictions here come mostly from Good Morning Football segments and his iHeartPodcasts show, The Season with Peter Schrager, covering NFL draft positioning, player movement, and weekly matchups — with particular attention to prospects like Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, and Ashton Jeanty.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 69.28%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 36.37
- **Graded articles:** 19
- **Graded individual calls:** 50
- **Clarity:** 100%

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (19)

### Apr 14, 2026 — scored 91.7 across 1 call

Schrager's mock draft has the Cardinals taking Arvell Reese at No. 3 overall.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a3f3fe80-e4b6-4cb3-99f1-39b513f65a53

### Apr 7, 2026 — scored 78.54 across 4 calls

In his mock draft, Schrager has the Rams taking USC receiver Mekhi Lemmon at No. 13 overall in the 2026 draft, with Jordan Tyson the first receiver off the board to the Chiefs at ninth and Carnell Tate to the Dolphins two picks before the Rams.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/762854db-be7e-4a0c-827f-4f0debe753ed

### Feb 27, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Schrager flagged Mississippi State's Brennan Thompson as the man likely to post the fastest 40-yard dash at this combine.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/69fb8d9e-3ecd-4ffd-ae69-b68d8ddef9ca

### Feb 25, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Schrager expects the 49ers and Trent Williams to work out a contract solution keeping him in San Francisco, and would be surprised if the Bengals tagged Trey Hendrickson or signed him to a new big deal, suggesting he finishes his career elsewhere.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/42ddd98b-f392-4429-9cca-57b978cfd8f3

### Mar 27, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Says JJ McCarthy has been handed the Vikings' starting quarterback job and will be their Week 1 starter.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/617a25dc-b41d-4138-a72e-9c83452bf558

### Mar 25, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Schrager stopped short of calling it inevitable but said Cam Ward will very likely be the first overall pick, and noted he already viewed Ward as the first quarterback off the board (ranking him seventh overall among prospects).

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/28c38ebf-803d-43cc-aa70-b1093c20099e

### Mar 13, 2025 — scored 0.78 across 1 call

Schrager picked Denver as the AFC team closing the gap on Kansas City after its free-agent additions, expects Russell Wilson to land in Pittsburgh, New York or Cleveland, believes Shedeur Sanders goes second or third overall and remains a first-round pick, and named Chase Brown and Sidney Brown as breakout players for the coming season.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5e33f114-dc75-4528-bf20-5ecc477f7d69

### Mar 4, 2025 — scored 50.05 across 4 calls

Schrager expects the top of the draft to be quarterback-driven, with Cam Ward going first overall and Shedeur Sanders second. He also thinks Sam Darnold returns to Minnesota, Justin Fields starts somewhere (likely staying in Pittsburgh rather than joining the Jets), and the Eagles lose free agents like Milton Williams and Josh Sweat.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d85fbaa5-de9a-4005-8da5-01b47326d167

### Mar 1, 2025 — scored 82.16 across 8 calls

Schrager laid out his top 10 prospects entering the 2025 combine, with Travis Hunter first, Abdul Carter second and Tyler Warren third, and attached draft-range calls to several of them — Will Johnson in the first round, Mason Graham a top-five pick, Ashton Jeanty a first-rounder, Tyler Warren not escaping the top ten, and Cam Ward a top-five to top-ten pick who will start as a rookie.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6346ea38-e7e1-45a3-a146-5231338dd001

### Feb 28, 2025 — scored 54.73 across 2 calls

Schrager said Boston College edge Donovan Ezeiruaku's combine three-cone performance may have locked him in as a first-round pick, and he named Ohio State's Emeka Egbuka as likely the first wide receiver taken in the draft.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3aaf753d-8ca3-4d0b-9fad-9864e1e8e84f

### Feb 27, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Schrager predicted Michigan defensive tackle Kenneth Grant is a first-round prospect who will impress at the combine, and said this defensive line class could produce around ten first-round picks.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6bd3bf9d-1d46-48f4-8379-b54cd9c4ad82

### Feb 26, 2025 — scored 94.7 across 3 calls

Schrager revealed the top five of his top-10 prospects entering the NFL Scouting Combine, with Travis Hunter first, and attached draft-range calls to several of them: Mason Graham as a top-five pick, Tyler Warren no later than the top ten, and Ashton Jeanty as a first-rounder.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9bfbd673-9722-46e4-b542-0601ac7443e9

### Feb 24, 2025 — scored 37.5 across 1 call

Schrager revisits the top-10 prospect list he published entering the 2024 NFL Combine, running it back from 10 to 1 and defending the ordering.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/336be4f4-62e4-4237-a941-a72bf09bdc06

### Jan 24, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call

Schrager said if the Bills play mistake-free football as they have all season they will beat the Chiefs and reach the Super Bowl, and predicted Travis Kelce would be a huge part of the AFC title game while rookie safety Cole Bishop would have to make a play.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e5242189-feaf-485c-863c-f02925d44322

### Jan 17, 2025 — scored 50 across 2 calls

Schrager argued that Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson would finish first and second in the MVP voting, while one of them exits in the divisional round.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c67dd127-e1eb-49da-a0db-3831b375a2f6

### Jan 14, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

While calling the Vikings the biggest losers of wild card weekend, Schrager said Minnesota's head coach Kevin O'Connell would win Coach of the Year despite the playoff blowout.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9370eb37-078d-40b4-9f30-23e129669469

### Jan 11, 2025 — scored 50 across 3 calls

Reviewing his preseason picks, Schrager refused to back off: he still has the Chiefs winning the Super Bowl and doubled down on the Packers, who entered the playoffs as the NFC's seventh seed, representing the NFC in the Super Bowl. He also ranked the top 10 rookie performances of 2024 and named Jared Verse his Defensive Rookie of the Year.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c13944fe-2f0c-46ce-8b94-a61f53af73ab

### Jan 10, 2025 — scored 83.33 across 6 calls

Schrager laid out his full Wild Card slate of winners — Chargers, Ravens, Bills, Eagles, Commanders, Rams — and predicted Sean Payton would successfully pull off a trick play against Buffalo.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/761efddd-6111-4545-bec7-95af50ef6132

### Jan 7, 2025 — scored 49.83 across 7 calls

Schrager ranked the AFC wild card teams by likelihood of a January run — Chargers first, Broncos second, Steelers third — and predicted the Chargers beat the Texans while the Ravens beat the Steelers. He also stood by his preseason Packers-to-the-Super-Bowl pick and his Chiefs Super Bowl winner pick, and forecast a roughly 16-13 Ravens win.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1a7cbbab-14a6-44e3-9231-7f6097864c5e


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=peter-schrager
