# Rich Hribar — prediction record

Rich Hribar is an experienced fantasy football analyst and prognosticator who uses advanced analytics and deep data analysis to uncover edges in the fantasy marketplace. His work appears at Sharp Football Analysis, where he publishes "The Worksheet" — an intensely researched weekly breakdown that has become a staple for fantasy players chasing an edge. He also contributes to The Herd with Colin Cowherd's podcast. By his own account, he's been a go-to resource for DFS tournament winners and season-long champions, with over 500 articles and videos to his name across respected fantasy outlets. His predictions span the full range of fantasy concerns: player season stats, positional finishes, sleepers and busts, depth chart projections, and draft rankings. We've tracked his work since early 2020, covering players like Josh Allen, Christian McCaffrey, and Saquon Barkley across teams from the 49ers to the Bills.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 75.21%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 25.23
- **Graded articles:** 9
- **Graded individual calls:** 65
- **Clarity:** 96.39%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (9)

### Sep 1, 2024 — scored 50.2 across 47 calls

Hribar published full statistical projections and fantasy rankings for 500+ players for the 2024 NFL season, ordering quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends by projected fantasy points and projecting individual passing, rushing and receiving lines.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/636fa042-c413-4d93-a89f-70931e21bbf0

### Jul 8, 2024 — scored 56.67 across 3 calls

Hribar's 2024 tight end tiers place Sam LaPorta as his overall TE1, followed by Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews and Trey McBride in Tier 1. He also notes McBride will remain a core piece of the Cardinals passing game but faces target competition from rookie Marvin Harrison Jr.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/875d5c47-9666-4ffb-a8ef-fc0283496882

### Jun 28, 2023 — scored 91.67 across 3 calls

In his 2023 fantasy running back tiers, Hribar places Christian McCaffrey, Austin Ekeler and Saquon Barkley in Tier 1 as the backs who check every usage box. He also expects Ekeler and Barkley to retain workhorse/lead-back roles because neither team added a threat to their touches.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8bb532c5-667f-49f1-9d25-760e6429d9ca

### Jun 23, 2023 — scored 91.67 across 1 call

Hribar places Travis Kelce alone in Tier 1 as the clear TE1 for 2023, while predicting the gap between Kelce and the rest of the position will narrow compared to 2022.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/818acd32-2bf9-41d4-8cee-284bda36e86f

### Jun 21, 2023 — scored 88.2 across 2 calls

Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b

### Jun 19, 2023 — scored 72.22 across 6 calls

Hribar argues Pat Freiermuth reaching 100 catches in 2023 is highly improbable, and that Chris Godwin is undervalued relative to ADP — his projections have Godwin as WR17 in full-PPR while he personally ranks him WR24. He also flags Rachaad White, James Conner, Keenan Allen and Brandin Cooks as projecting above their draft cost, and prefers Christian Watson to Godwin at similar cost.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/588e280e-19c6-4153-8ce5-a5b1afb1a6f2

### Apr 26, 2020 — scored 77.44 across 1 call

Hribar published his post-NFL Draft top-60 rookie fantasy rankings for the 2020 season, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire vaulting to No. 1 ahead of Jonathan Taylor and J.K. Dobbins.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/12b6771e-a504-44e1-a213-c7fba69c971e

### Mar 6, 2020 — scored 75.2 across 1 call

Hribar published a pre-draft top-60 fantasy rookie ranking for 2020, headlined by Jonathan Taylor, J.K. Dobbins and D'Andre Swift at running back and CeeDee Lamb as the top rookie receiver.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5e4b200c-1e14-4fd2-8067-3b5ae6102017

### Feb 28, 2020 — scored 87.46 across 1 call

Hribar published early 2020 fantasy football rankings, a top-200 list of position players headed by Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley and Ezekiel Elliott.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/60f2bb87-e8e1-4f3a-96f4-34885aea23d1


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