# Ryan Tracy — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 35.26%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 42.98
- **Graded articles:** 9
- **Graded individual calls:** 25
- **Clarity:** 95.24%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (9)

### Apr 1, 2026 — scored 63.42 across 6 calls

Tracy names five prospects he considers locks to be drafted inside the top eight (Mendoza, Reese, Styles, Bailey, Love), with Bailey likely going top four, and says Ruben Bane will go inside the top 10 even if he slides.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4a278fdf-20a1-4497-aa59-80f8a52433d1

### Mar 21, 2026 — scored 47.22 across 3 calls

Tracy ranks Caleb McDonald as the top defensive tackle in the draft class, says Grayson Halton is the best pass rusher in the class by production, and projects a series of DT prospects to specific draft ranges — Halton around pick 74, Rayshawn Benny late Day 3/round 3-4, Kenneth Proctor Day 3, Zane Durant in the fifth round, and Skyler Gil Howard falling to the late rounds of Day 3. He also doubts Christian Miller lasts to pick 40 and expects the Chiefs to end up with fewer than their current nine picks.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8d432af7-1ce9-4dcd-80f5-074f46b0f800

### Mar 12, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

Ryan lays out his draft board and expectations for the edge and interior classes: Arbel Reese is his top edge ahead of David Bailey and Ruben Baine, all three likely gone before Kansas City's ninth pick (though he thinks Reese could slip to nine), with TJ Parker and Messador off the board before pick 40, Fano going early, Freeling around pick 29, and Caden McDonald his top defensive tackle.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/43592263-b8a4-4555-a1a1-d60fabc44a91

### Mar 2, 2026 — scored 18.95 across 5 calls

In a Chiefs mock draft, Tracy advocated taking Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles in the first round, Missouri edge Zion Young at No. 40, tight end Trigg at No. 74, safety Bud Clark at No. 109, and cornerback Davis at No. 176.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d6eb794b-ab2a-464d-a8df-46c42b0ea9f4

### Feb 27, 2026 — scored 50 across 2 calls

Tracy said David Bailey, after a full combine workout, is now his favorite to be drafted by the Jets with the No. 2 overall pick, ranks Caden McDonald and Lee Hunter as his top two defensive tackles in the class, and slotted several other prospects (Overton late Day 2/third round, Ramel Hite third round, Malachi Lawrence around 55-60, Iowa's Maxwell fourth-fifth round). He also suggested QB McCoy might be the first quarterback taken.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/289fecf2-43f0-4c1e-9b25-fefb7c5c7089

### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 0 across 1 call

In the show's Chiefs mock draft, Tracy selects tight end Trigg with Kansas City's third-round pick at No. 74, arguing he offers the vertical threat that fits the offense.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b1ea232e-0802-40f1-a232-1e6540a289c1

### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Tracy says Ruben Bane is his second-rated pass rusher in the class by a razor-thin margin, while cautioning he is not on the level of Myles Garrett or Micah Parsons.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/074d7ec6-e2ce-4e7e-a585-b54d8e89914b

### Feb 23, 2026 — scored 37.04 across 4 calls

Running a draft simulator for the Chiefs, Tracy selected and defended a haul of Caleb Downs at No. 9, offensive tackle Monroe Freleng at 40, running back Jadirion Price at 74, defensive tackle Grayson Holt at 109, and slot receiver Kevin Coleman later on. He also expects Tacan Thornton (or at minimum JuJu Smith-Schuster) to be back with Kansas City.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/29e1f58e-1446-40a3-8cbf-d38944a7f283

### Feb 10, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls

Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/18bb787c-4f93-4c95-b8c2-02daeeffe823


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=ryan-tracy
