# Sam Kienzle — prediction record



## Record

- **Accuracy:** 54.76%
- **MissedTakes Score:** -0.61
- **Graded articles:** 2
- **Graded individual calls:** 7
- **Clarity:** 75%

PROVISIONAL: fewer than 10 graded articles. This number is not yet meaningful, and they are excluded from leaderboards.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (2)

### Jan 24, 2026 — scored 46.03 across 3 calls

Iowa Sam had the Patriots winning and covering 20-13 in Denver and the Rams winning outright at Seattle 24-21, sticking with his preseason pick of the Rams as Super Bowl champions. He also took the Falcons for most wins next season.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a8bf1449-eea5-4e32-ab4b-a0e59d7a8857

### Jan 18, 2025 — scored 75 across 4 calls

Iowa Sam took the Chiefs to win while liking Houston with the points, laid the points with the Lions, had the Eagles winning but the Rams covering, and picked the Bills to beat the Ravens.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/8c21f01e-aa61-49d9-995f-7152aaa5adbb


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=sam-kienzle
