# Shannon Sharpe — prediction record

Shannon Sharpe played tight end in the NFL for fourteen seasons, winning three Super Bowls—two with the Denver Broncos and one with the Baltimore Ravens—and retired as the league's all-time leader among tight ends in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. He was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2011. After his playing career, Sharpe spent years as a television analyst, co-hosting *Skip and Shannon: Undisputed* on Fox Sports 1 from 2016 to 2023 and appearing on ESPN's *First Take* until 2025. He now hosts *Nightcap*, the podcast where the predictions tracked here originate. On the show he covers a wide range of NFL topics—quarterback rankings, coaching hot seats, player movement, and game outcomes—with a particular eye on teams like the Ravens, Broncos, Steelers, and Bengals, and players such as Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield, and T.J. Watt.

## Record

- **Accuracy:** 62.42%
- **MissedTakes Score:** 19.85
- **Graded articles:** 21
- **Graded individual calls:** 33
- **Clarity:** 92%

LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution.

The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty.

Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology

## Graded articles (21)

### Sep 11, 2026 — scored 0 across 2 calls

Sharpe predicted Matthew Stafford would throw four touchdowns in the Thursday night game against the 49ers, picked Tampa Bay to beat Cincinnati at home, took the Broncos over Kansas City on Monday night with Bonitto getting 2.5 sacks, and expects big fantasy value from kicker Brandon Aubrey.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7f7bf5cf-1f4a-4432-beab-5ec7c9549fc7

### Sep 9, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Sharpe expects Myles Garrett, now with the Rams, to remain dominant and post at least 14-15 sacks, and he also thinks Micah Parsons will again reach double-digit sacks. He predicts the Dolphins win only two games this season, and says Jeremiah Smith won't go ahead of Mendoza at the top of the draft.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/471fb1a1-3faf-4a75-bf81-ff8ebf57c88d

### Aug 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Sharpe expects Drew Lock to be Seattle's clear No. 2 quarterback, with Jaylen Milroe kept and Mitchell Trubisky released; he also predicts Shedeur Sanders will be named the Browns' starter and Deshaun Watson eventually released, and says Cleveland won't win the Super Bowl.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7ad94c71-bd4a-4478-923a-0f6df1695352

### Jul 18, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Sharpe ("Unc"/"Donk") said the veteran receiver they were discussing would be signed by a team, though he named no destination.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/547c2b7d-e77e-4982-9c11-5e64da38bfe0

### Apr 24, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call

Sharpe predicted that A.J. Brown will be playing for New England once June 1 arrives.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/4b2704cf-245c-4a11-af0e-8164d327c7e0

### Dec 29, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Sharpe picks McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year over Tyler Shough, and says Saints rookie Tyler Shough has locked down the starting quarterback job in New Orleans.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/d15517a6-ed72-4a9e-8d46-f678a0faac75

### Nov 19, 2025 — scored 62.5 across 2 calls

Sharpe names Christian Gonzalez, Patrick Surtain II and Derek Stingley Jr. as the top three cornerbacks in the league, doubts Justin Fields will ever become the quarterback people expected, and predicts Matthew Stafford wins MVP. He also expects Jamar Chase to be suspended a game and Jalen Ramsey only fined, and foresees Kyler Murray parting with Arizona.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0c19cc78-31b4-4098-8236-6603c6fa4603

### Nov 14, 2025 — scored 0 across 3 calls

Sharpe says the AFC East will be a two-team fight between the Patriots and Bills for the next decade, predicts the Ravens win their division and host a playoff game, believes Lamar Jackson will eventually reach and win a Super Bowl, expects Justin Fields never to become what people hoped, and names his top three cornerbacks. He also thinks Jim Harbaugh will get the Chargers to a Super Bowl (though not necessarily this year) and expects Kyler Murray to be elsewhere next season.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/edebb8e3-7fc0-4932-8b5f-d2d74d968ae2

### Nov 6, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Sharpe signed off predicting Denver would blow out the Raiders in the Thursday night game, and also said the Broncos would beat Kansas City when the Chiefs visit Denver. He also expects Ja Morant's time with the Grizzlies to end soon.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f9b2b054-6f3b-489e-8005-e0e2564a4cbf

### Oct 16, 2025 — scored 0 across 2 calls

On a Bengals-Steelers matchup, Sharpe took the over on several player props: Ja'Marr Chase over 74.5 receiving yards, Joe Flacco over 36.5 pass attempts, and T.J. Watt over 3.5 tackles+assists, adding that Watt will get two sacks. He also predicted Rico Dowdle would make the Pro Bowl this season.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/1fbc5b8e-7449-41f4-a5a2-7029cc4ef65e

### Oct 11, 2025 — scored 25 across 1 call

Sharpe argued that, based on the first five weeks of the 2025 season, Baker Mayfield has been the best-playing quarterback in the league and that no six quarterbacks are playing better than him; he also said Mayfield must be top five.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/ef1d0bd9-f066-44cb-aecb-beba0da83d8c

### Oct 10, 2025 — scored 62.5 across 2 calls

Sharpe argued that through five weeks of the 2025 season Baker Mayfield has been the best-playing quarterback in the league, insisting no six quarterbacks are playing the position better than he is and that he belongs in the top five if not first.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/44f25a64-3578-4f54-911c-b8e228811736

### Oct 9, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Sharpe says he has no confidence the Jets will get their first win in London and instead feels confident in the Broncos winning that game. He also predicted A'ja Wilson would win Finals MVP as the Aces close out the WNBA title.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/827eda73-051f-41a5-b77f-56f7162a15a4

### Sep 25, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls

Sharpe predicted the Bengals would lose three straight — insisting they will not win in Denver and that the Lions will beat them too.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/eb883d4a-dfe4-44f7-bf2b-dba911c4ee2a

### Jul 21, 2025 — scored 4.17 across 2 calls

Sharpe places Jalen Hurts fifth among NFL quarterbacks, refusing to drop him out of his top five/top ten. He also predicts Lamar Jackson will become the NFL's highest-paid player, exceeding Josh Allen's deal, and calls Jackson one of the three best quarterbacks in the league. He picks prime LaDainian Tomlinson over prime Adrian Peterson and says Miami-era LeBron was LeBron's peak.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/f4d1af1f-688c-4a1d-8fd2-ffe115c9eda9

### Jul 16, 2025 — scored 91.67 across 1 call

Sharpe predicted Puka would get a contract in roughly the $32-34 million per year range, said Justin Herbert is rated about where he belongs (5-8) rather than underrated, and argued Jalen Hurts' system won't produce MVP-level passing numbers.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cfcdf9f8-bbc4-4186-b030-a6790d012cf3

### Jul 15, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Shannon expects Jalen Ramsey to move to safety for the Steelers, sliding Darius Slay to nickel in three-receiver sets.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/e2bb6d73-3dae-4ba0-a444-3bb283bb46c1

### Jun 9, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call

Sharpe says he can see the Ravens getting Lamar Jackson to a Super Bowl this season, and in the NBA Finals he takes Oklahoma City to close out Indiana in five games.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/801f00bb-d9c5-4e77-9fb2-b4b1df1150e6

### May 30, 2025 — scored 50 across 2 calls

Sharpe expects Joe Flacco to open the season as Cleveland's starter over Dylan Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders, thinks Deshaun Watson won't play in 2025, ranks the Browns behind Cincinnati and Baltimore in the AFC North, and predicts Kyle Pitts will be gone from Atlanta after another poor season. He also picks OKC as favorites over Indiana in the NBA Finals.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a6df7175-7e91-4515-a6a1-ec4e17523517

### May 27, 2025 — scored 15 across 2 calls

Sharpe said the rookie running back's stated goal of 1,500 rushing yards is realistic and very doable, but doubted 20 touchdowns, putting him closer to 10-12 rushing scores.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a8a876e0-f52d-4e74-a25a-fb5e2016fa0f

### Apr 11, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call

Closing the show, Sharpe thanked guest Omarion Hampton, the North Carolina running back, and described him as projected to be a first-round draft pick.

https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/7e40bc2f-859e-4596-bb3a-d2d2983144bc


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We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/corrections?pundit=shannon-sharpe
