# Tom Pelissero — prediction record Tom Pelissero covers the NFL as an insider, appearing regularly on podcasts like Around the NFL and Move the Sticks. His reporting spans the league—draft positioning, player movement, roster decisions—with observations touching teams from Cleveland to Los Angeles and players from Cam Ward to Matthew Stafford. ## Record - **Accuracy:** 80.15% - **MissedTakes Score:** 25.23 - **Graded articles:** 16 - **Graded individual calls:** 31 - **Clarity:** 100% LIMITED SAMPLE: between 10 and 29 graded articles. Treat with caution. The MissedTakes Score is how much better than a naive baseline they did, not how often they were right. Zero means no better than a strategy requiring no knowledge. A record is counted in ARTICLES rather than individual calls, because thirty picks in one mock draft is one act of judgment rather than thirty. Full method: https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/methodology ## Graded articles (16) ### Mar 2, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Pelissero expects the Raiders to draft Fernando Mendoza first overall, and says Kirk Cousins will be released March 11 while Tua Tagovailoa will be released before March 13 if Miami can't trade him. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/662ce1b7-daca-460b-a92d-ab72d022ebe0 ### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 100 across 2 calls Pelissero predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders and that Ty Simpson is the only other QB in the class seen as a possible early starter. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/6889889a-e8b1-4888-b0aa-18ab8e982c68 ### Feb 26, 2026 — scored 100 across 1 call Pelissero expects Anthony Richardson to be moved out of Indianapolis, with Daniel Jones ready for week one as the Colts' starter and the club working toward a long-term deal or a tag for Jones. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/27270fd2-c9b5-47b0-9a46-0aeb8dad6695 ### Nov 26, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call Pelissero praised Cleveland's rookie class and suggested linebacker Carson Schwesinger could be the defensive player of the year. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/53078171-5102-4c53-9860-26f490c11245 ### Nov 21, 2025 — scored 0 across 1 call Pelissero read the practice trend as a sign the Bengals may hold Joe Burrow out this week and target a Thanksgiving return against the Ravens; he also said the Ravens are the favorites to win the AFC North, and that Zac Taylor will most likely still be Bengals coach in 2026. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/cc45d926-bf19-4291-a600-e29e16092bcd ### Sep 5, 2025 — scored 91.67 across 3 calls Pelissero said Matthew Stafford will start Sunday against the Texans despite back concerns, and that Nick Chubb will be Houston's lead back to open the season with Damien Pierce spelling him while Joe Mixon is out. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/976e18a8-f507-4a5c-9763-01bb637c59bd ### Sep 3, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls Pelissero reported/predicted that Trevon Diggs will play Thursday night and that Stefon Diggs is on track to play in the Patriots' opener against the Raiders. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/c3cf6d1e-6e2e-4b6b-8e86-0eb2ab0fa679 ### Aug 21, 2025 — scored 66.67 across 3 calls Pelissero doubted Micah Parsons would ultimately sit out, said the most logical outcome is Parsons showing up and playing out his contract, and pegged his eventual deal in the $45 million-per-year range; he also predicted the Vikings' week one starter opposite Justin Jefferson is not currently on their roster, floating Adam Thielen as a target, and said Justin Jefferson will be good to go for week one. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a7185069-741c-4dc1-b7c3-09775ddb0c32 ### Jun 13, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Pelissero predicted that Trey Hendrickson will eventually sign a multiyear extension with the Bengals and that TJ Watt will get a deal done with the Steelers. He also said Daniel Jones has a leg up in Indianapolis and expects Mike Tomlin to remain Steelers head coach as long as he wants. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5493430e-5a30-4c06-b71e-4af19dc24118 ### May 30, 2025 — scored 92.37 across 3 calls Pelissero says it wouldn't shock him if Shedeur Sanders is part of an open quarterback competition in Cleveland heading into training camp, expects Cam Ward to be the Titans' starter by the preseason, and suggests that if Aaron Rodgers plays poorly the Steelers could hold a top-15 pick in the 2026 draft and target a quarterback. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/09766ec1-0261-470d-9bae-bd9ddbf816cf ### Apr 22, 2025 — scored 100 across 2 calls Pellisero expects Cam Ward to go first overall to Tennessee and Travis Hunter second to Cleveland, and says the league consensus is that the third tier of quarterbacks — Quinn Ewers, Kyle McCord, Dillon Gabriel, Riley Leonard and Will Howard — will all be drafted between the third and fifth rounds. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/3bab1bd9-c058-4780-bc59-e05c922d3d17 ### Apr 21, 2025 — scored 96.02 across 4 calls Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 ### Apr 18, 2025 — scored 85.35 across 2 calls Pelissero says Cam Ward remains the presumptive No. 1 overall pick, expects Cleveland not to trade Travis Hunter at No. 2, believes Jalen Milroe goes sooner rather than later, and thinks Tyler Shough could be pushed into the first round. He also expects at least one star player (Ramsey, Aiyuk, Hendrickson or Cousins) to be traded around the draft. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/9b5ff503-12b0-40fa-bc61-5c2b582a825f ### Apr 10, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Guest host Tom Pelissero laid out his ten biggest pre-draft questions, predicting Cam Ward goes No. 1 overall to the Titans, doubting five quarterbacks go in round one, and saying it's more likely than not that Kirk Cousins is not a starter next season while calling him staying as Falcons backup all year the least likely outcome. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/baa797cf-18fd-447c-bfb3-210bbbe9d748 ### Feb 24, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Pelissero expects the franchise tag to come for Tee Higgins and believes Russell Wilson will sign somewhere as a starting quarterback. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/5998ad54-bf3a-43b0-9e63-5368c2e3caca ### Jan 31, 2025 — scored 50.39 across 2 calls Pelissero expects Kellen Moore to be hired as the Saints' next head coach right after the Super Bowl, doubts any team has a quarterback as its No. 1 overall player in the draft while still expecting Cam Ward and Shedeur Sanders to be first-round picks, anticipates Mike McCarthy will get head-coaching opportunities in 2026, and sees Las Vegas as a plausible landing spot for Russell Wilson. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/a7cc23b4-e0b9-4644-9228-c169afc24ab6 ### Jan 3, 2025 — scored 100 across 1 call Pelissero expects Travis Hunter, not Shedeur Sanders, to be the first Colorado player drafted, and says Kevin O'Connell will almost certainly win Coach of the Year. https://missedtakes.thegoodapps.co/opinions/0e500914-450e-43bd-ab4d-7682b55f474b --- We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. 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