Jaime Eisner · Apr 13, 2026

Eisner published a full first-round 2026 NFL mock draft built around betting odds, assigning a specific player to each of the 32 picks, headlined by Fernando Mendoza going No. 1 to the Raiders and including a projected Cardinals trade back into the first round for Ty Simpson at No. 29.

“The Raiders are all but certain to select Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.”

published in writing · The Draft Network · read the original →

32 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“18. Minnesota Vikings — Dillon Thieneman, SAF, Oregon”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
7b917409-88db-4be3-97fb-179ecb9179b7
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“22. Los Angeles Chargers — Kadyn Proctor, OL, Alabama”
Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
835d004e-0dc6-4925-8693-98c0782a232a
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Cashius Howell, EDGE, Texas A&M”
Scored 32.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
8b92ea6a-ea59-45b9-9944-ef6e4f55baa3
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
32.42
baseline:
50
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
32.42
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“11. Miami Dolphins — Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
10bcc1d9-29b2-44b8-920d-2621b71c495a
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“7. Washington Commanders — Rueben Bain Jr., EDGE, Miami”
Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
24cc3b92-406e-4632-b64e-adf8000584f4
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“1. Las Vegas Raiders — Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
55e0e74f-c2ba-461c-9272-7a1bcb2356f4
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“24. Cleveland Browns (via JAX) — Caleb Lomu, OT, Utah”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
11c68af2-2bba-4980-b129-d8ce86a40ec1
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“8. New Orleans Saints — Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
32254483-f46c-41fd-82f2-fe332be6f15a
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“14. Baltimore Ravens — Spencer Fano, OL, Utah”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
d94774ea-02a7-4ac8-b699-79095599d3b8
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“9. Kansas City Chiefs — Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
4d98a2c5-a675-45f9-956e-03f17011aa0d
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“25. Chicago Bears — Keldric Faulk, EDGE, Auburn”
Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
d9bc5adf-43fb-443f-9fd8-304ceae21da5
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“4. Tennessee Titans — Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
cde7b2a7-ea7b-4d79-a443-f59f58bd4bf3
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“19. Carolina Panthers — Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
ecdbddd6-1af2-4ea5-bf1b-9c596b8c8cd4
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“13. Los Angeles Rams (via ATL) — Makai Lemon, WR, USC”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
e9bbedd5-9e1a-4fd1-93eb-88263bc6e56d
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“16. New York Jets (via IND) — Omar Cooper Jr., WR, Indiana”
Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
98e8338a-99c6-4f3c-9ae3-a1dd68e3bb7f
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“28. Houston Texans — Kayden McDonald, IDL, Ohio State”
Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
238dde2c-2cab-4d1e-af08-4f808a4c001e
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“30. Miami Dolphins (via DEN) — Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, SAF, Toledo”
Scored 29.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
5f7d7048-faa9-4da7-876d-b15791ec4ff1
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
29.73
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
29.73
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“12. Dallas Cowboys — Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee”
Scored 2.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
35dbe8bd-5dfe-465b-b838-06cd8635a415
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
2.12
baseline:
50
actual pick:
101
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
2.12
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“10. Cincinnati Bengals — Caleb Downs, SAF, Ohio State”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
dd59614b-3134-4b9d-b4a1-56e2f96dbad1
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“17. Detroit Lions — Monroe Freeling, OT, Georgia”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
686102c9-883f-47bf-8026-4282dd251634
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“21. Pittsburgh Steelers — Olaivavega Ioane, IOL, Penn State”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
9340f816-ba37-4a12-82e4-b3f29d79aaa1
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“3. Arizona Cardinals — Arvell Reese, LB/EDGE, Ohio State”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
d88d936e-5ad3-4946-bd2a-188a83ef199a
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“6. Cleveland Browns — Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
3891183d-3620-4036-9fe5-c1d977d7ad2c
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“27. San Francisco 49ers — KC Concepcion, WR, Texas A&M”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
d07413ef-94f3-46aa-8db7-1f0c5e358427
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“32. Seattle Seahawks — Colton Hood, CB, Tennessee”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
7394e4a2-c64f-4ddf-989d-0f5f5eedafe8
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
37
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“31. New England Patriots — Denzel Boston, WR, Washington”
Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
2ca02225-f78b-4053-ac8a-cbce3b4aeb51
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
39
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“29. Arizona Cardinals (via trade w/ KC) — Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama”
Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 78.85 against a shuffle’s 50+28.85 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
28.85
player:
1bfc0cf7-3d1b-496a-adea-c1fdfe1f5ed5
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
78.85
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“23. Philadelphia Eagles — Blake Miller, OT, Clemson”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“26. Buffalo Bills — Akheem Mesidor, EDGE, Miami”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“20. Dallas Cowboys (via GB) — Peter Woods, IDL, Clemson”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“5. New York Giants — Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 13, 2026
“2. New York Jets — David Bailey, EDGE, Texas Tech”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?