Sports Info Solutions · Mar 19, 2024

An unsigned draft-guide piece ranks the top 15 running back prospects for the 2024 NFL Draft, with Trey Benson first, Audric Estime second and Jonathan Brooks third, and also assigns each prospect an overall big board rank.

“Here's a look at our top 15 running back prospects.”

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →

25 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Trey Benson projects as a low-end starter who will primarily play on first and second down.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
ARI
skill:
-16.67
player:
Trey Benson
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“12. Ray Davis, Kentucky Big Board Rank : 129”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Ray Davis
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
128
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
129
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“11. MarShawn Lloyd, USC Big Board Rank : 128”
Scored 17.68 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
MarShawn Lloyd
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
17.68
baseline:
50
actual pick:
88
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
17.68
predicted pick:
128
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“9. Braelon Allen, Wisconsin Big Board Rank : 121”
Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Braelon Allen
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
134
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
121
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“7. Dylan Laube, New Hampshire Big Board Rank : 112”
Scored 1.56 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Dylan Laube
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
1.56
baseline:
50
actual pick:
208
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
1.56
predicted pick:
112
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“5. Blake Corum, Michigan Big Board Rank : 73”
Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Blake Corum
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
83
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
73
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“4. Will Shipley, Clemson Big Board Rank : 67”
Scored 7.43 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Will Shipley
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
7.43
baseline:
50
actual pick:
127
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
7.43
predicted pick:
67
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“1. Trey Benson, Florida State Big Board Rank : 60”
Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Trey Benson
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
66
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
60
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“10. Jawhar Jordan, Louisville Big Board Rank : 125”
Scored 3.13 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
ff34a1a6-8454-4e31-91cd-cdffce4f18d1
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
3.13
baseline:
50
actual pick:
205
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
3.13
predicted pick:
125
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“13. Jaylen Wright, Tennessee Big Board Rank : 130”
Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Jaylen Wright
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
64.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
120
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
64.84
predicted pick:
130
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“6. Bucky Irving, Oregon Big Board Rank : 109”
Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Bucky Irving
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
125
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
109
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“3. Jonathan Brooks, Texas Big Board Rank : 66”
Scored 42.04 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Jonathon Brooks
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
42.04
baseline:
50
actual pick:
46
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
42.04
predicted pick:
66
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Top Player ListsMar 19, 2024
“RANKING 2024 Running Back PROSPECTS ... 1. Trey Benson, Florida State”
Scored 65.38a naive guess scored 50+30.77 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
30.77
placed:
13
season:
2024
players:
15
accuracy:
65.38
baseline:
50
by position:
RB 13: 65.38
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Bucky Irving projects as a role-playing starter who can be used as a change-of-pace runner and a dynamic receiving threat out of the backfield.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
TB
skill:
16.67
player:
Bucky Irving
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Blake Corum projects as a lower-end starter early in his career who has scheme versatility.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
LAR
skill:
-16.67
player:
Blake Corum
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Braelon Allen projects as a backup running back who fits best in an outside zone-running scheme.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYJ
skill:
0
player:
Braelon Allen
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“15. Jase McClellan, Alabama Big Board Rank : 134”
Scored 10.51 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Jase McClellan
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
10.51
baseline:
50
actual pick:
186
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
10.51
predicted pick:
134
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Jonathan Brooks projects as a low-end starting running back who would be best served in a zone-running scheme.”
Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 75-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
CAR
skill:
-16.67
player:
Jonathon Brooks
season:
2024
accuracy:
66.67
baseline:
75
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
5
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Rey Davis projects to be a backup change-of-pace back who can be used on all three downs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
0
player:
Ray Davis
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
2
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Will Shipley projects as a low-end starter in a mixed rushing attack.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
PHI
skill:
-16.67
player:
Will Shipley
season:
2024
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“2. Audric Estime, Notre Dame Big Board Rank : 65”
Scored 2.87 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 68.96 against a shuffle’s 50+18.96 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
18.96
player:
Audric Estimé
season:
2024
zero at:
32
accuracy:
2.87
baseline:
50
actual pick:
147
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
2.87
predicted pick:
65
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
68.96
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Audric Estime projects to be a low-end starting running back who can be a good contributor on first and second down.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
DEN
skill:
-16.67
player:
Audric Estimé
season:
2024
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“8. Dillon Johnson, Washington Big Board Rank : 119”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsMar 19, 2024
“Dillon Johnson projects to be a reliable backup running back who can fill a role on any down.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 19, 2024
“14. Cody Schrader, Missouri Big Board Rank : 131”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?