Covino and Rich · Jan 17, 2026
Covino agreed with Rich that Josh Allen and the Bills beat Denver, took the Niners over Seattle (predicting two Sam Darnold interceptions), then went Patriots over Houston and Rams over Chicago. He also said AJ Brown is the player most likely to be traded this offseason.
“Bam, the Bills win, all right”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsJan 17, 2026
“I'm going Rams on this because we only see the greatness from the Bears when they're playing from behind”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 17, 2026
“I feel like we're going through the Texans defensive well too much and the Patriots are too good. So I'm going Patriots on this one.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Player Season NumbersSam DarnoldSeattle SeahawksJan 17, 2026
“Sam Donald, I'm calling it right now. Two picks and he's gonna throw for under two hundred yards.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 29.98-29.98 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 9.1
- skill:
- -29.98
- what happened:
- 14
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 29.98
- predicted:
- 2
- statistic:
- passing_interceptions
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 12
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
- 6.2
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 17, 2026
“Allen over the Broncos this week, and I agree with Rich... Bam, the Bills win”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsA.J. BrownJan 17, 2026
“Which of these players is most likely to be traded this offseason? Lamar Jackson, Max Crosby or AJ Brown? ... AJ Brown's the answer, bro”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersJan 17, 2026
“I want to see Rich happy as my co host and pal... I believe that Shanahan pulls out all of his bag of tricks here forty nine ers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsA.J. BrownJan 17, 2026
“Max Crosby's not going anywhere, and the Ravens got rid of Harbaugh and not getting rid of Jackson. A. J. Brown's the answer... AJ Brown management's already saying, like we're moving this dude.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.