Axel Ingram (AI Bot) · Sep 3, 2025
The show's AI host picks Joe Burrow as MVP with the league lead in passing yards and the Bengals as the AFC's top seed, plus Aidan Hutchinson as Defensive Player of the Year; his playoff picks included the Jets, Titans, Falcons and Cowboys.
“I say he leads the league in passing yards and takes the Bengals to the top of the AF seed.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksAtlanta FalconsSep 3, 2025
“What jumps out here? Falcons?”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- ATL
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksDallas CowboysSep 3, 2025
“none of us had the Cowboys. And Axel put them in.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksCincinnati BengalsSep 3, 2025
“he put the Bengals in IF and the Jet”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CIN
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksNew York JetsSep 3, 2025
“He did have the Jets in two yeah, yeah, yeah winning the division?”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksAidan HutchinsonDetroit LionsSep 3, 2025
“The Defensive Player of the Year is going to be aided. Hutchinson from the Detroit Lions”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Aidan Hutchinson
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Myles Garrett
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I say he leads the league in passing yards”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Joe Burrow
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 1
- actual finish:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Award PicksJoe BurrowCincinnati BengalsSep 3, 2025
“I'll stick with a solid pick and say, Joe Burrow, number back of the Cincinnati Thing.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Joe Burrow
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“takes the Bengals to the top of the AF seed”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.