Pushing the Pile · Jan 21, 2026

The unnamed host (Speaker 0) picked the Patriots to beat the Broncos in the AFC Championship and sided with the Rams over the Seahawks in the NFC Championship, and offered a series of draft projections on Shrine Bowl and Senior Bowl prospects.

“I think the Patriots at the end of the day do”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

16 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome Picks New England PatriotsJan 21, 2026
New England Patriots to win
“it's just hard for me to really be like, yeah. I think the Broncos wins. I I think the Patriots at the end of the day do even if, like, I am worried about their offense lines.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
10-7
skill:
100
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Justin JolyJan 21, 2026
Justin Joly to be picked “top 100 guy” (picks 1–100)
“So lot riding on it for him because he could be a top 100 guy, truthfully.”
Miss · 11Scored 10.51a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Justin Joly
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
10.51
baseline:
50
actual pick:
152
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
10.51
predicted pick:
top 100 guy (picks 1–100)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks K.C. ConcepcionJan 21, 2026
K.C. Concepcion to be picked “potential first rounder” (picks 1–32)
“KC Concepcion, two schooler, NC State, Texas A and M, potential first rounder”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
K.C. Concepcion
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
potential first rounder (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Jadarian PriceJan 21, 2026
Jadarian Price to be 2nd running back off the board
“I'd probably put Jadirian Price there [RB two]”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 31.29+68.71 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 13 at random averages 31.29
skill:
68.71
player:
Jadarian Price
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
31.29
position:
running back
class size:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Emmanuel PregnonJan 21, 2026
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked “top 50 pick” (picks 1–50)
“Emmanuel Pregnone from Oregon, who's probably evolved into your offline here, gonna be the highest drafted, I would guess. Probably a top 50 pick.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Emmanuel Pregnone
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 50 pick (picks 1–50)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenJan 21, 2026
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“he is a top 30 player on my board. I think there's a chance after this week he's a first round”
Miss · 32Scored 32.42a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
32.42
baseline:
50
actual pick:
58
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
32.42
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Kamari RamseyJan 21, 2026
Kamari Ramsey to be picked “back end of the top 100” (picks 1–100)
“I know you love Kamar Ramsey, but I see a more back end of the top 100 sort of guy.”
Miss · 17Scored 16.93a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Kamari Ramsey
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
16.93
baseline:
50
actual pick:
141
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
16.93
predicted pick:
back end of the top 100 (picks 1–100)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Julian NealJan 21, 2026
Julian Neal to be picked “top 50 picks” (picks 1–50)
“These guys could all be top 50 picks ... Julian Neil is not undersized from Arkansas”
Miss · 12Scored 11.97a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Julian Neal
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
11.97
baseline:
50
actual pick:
99
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
11.97
predicted pick:
top 50 picks (picks 1–50)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Keonte ScottJan 21, 2026
Keonte Scott to be picked “top 50 pick” (picks 1–50)
“I think he's a top 50 pick at corner, at least second round corner in this class.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Keonte Scott
season:
2025
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 50 pick (picks 1–50)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Jeremiyah LoveJan 21, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board
“basically, everyone after Jeremiah Love is jockeying for r b two”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 25.97+74.03 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 13 at random averages 25.97
skill:
74.03
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2025
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
25.97
position:
running back
class size:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Chris JohnsonJan 21, 2026
Chris Johnson to be picked “top 50 picks” (picks 1–50)
“These guys could all be top 50 picks, I think, when it's all said and done. You have Chris Johnson from San Diego State”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Austin BarberJan 21, 2026
Austin Barber to be picked “day two pick”
“I think Austin Barber from Florida could end up a day two pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Combine Measurements Nicholas SingletonJan 21, 2026
Nicholas Singleton to post run-in the four threes at the combine
“So he's two twenty. I think he'll probably run-in the four threes”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Ahmari HarveyJan 21, 2026
Ahmari Harvey to be picked “getting drafted”
“I guarantee you, Mario Harvey's getting drafted.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks Los Angeles RamsJan 21, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to win
“There's probably gonna be some big moments this week. So I'm with you, and, also, I'm not going against Boas and Mentalist.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Emmanuel PregnonJan 21, 2026
Emmanuel Pregnon to be 1st interior offensive line off the board
“Emmanuel Pregnone from Oregon ... gonna be the highest drafted, I would guess.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?