The Draft Network · Sep 6, 2021
Predicts the Browns win the AFC North, with Baltimore second and a wild-card berth, Pittsburgh third around .500 and out of the playoffs, and Cincinnati last, with Zac Taylor fired at season's end.
“It's been nearly 20 years since the Browns have won the division, but all streaks eventually come to an end.”
published in writing · The Draft Network · read the original (as archived May 23, 2022) → · live page
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensSep 6, 2021
“Prediction: Second Place (Wild-Card)”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2021
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksCleveland BrownsSep 6, 2021
“Prediction: Division Winner”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2021
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Power RankingsSep 6, 2021
“Prediction: Fourth Place (Bengals); Prediction: Third Place (Steelers); Prediction: Second Place (Wild-Card) (Ravens); Prediction: Division Winner (Browns)”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 40-80 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -80
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2021
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Division WinnersCleveland BrownsSep 6, 2021
“It's been nearly 20 years since the Browns have won the division, but all streaks eventually come to an end. Prediction: Division Winner”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.