Ryan Tracy · Mar 21, 2026

Tracy ranks Caleb McDonald as the top defensive tackle in the draft class, says Grayson Halton is the best pass rusher in the class by production, and projects a series of DT prospects to specific draft ranges — Halton around pick 74, Rayshawn Benny late Day 3/round 3-4, Kenneth Proctor Day 3, Zane Durant in the fifth round, and Skyler Gil Howard falling to the late rounds of Day 3. He also doubts Christian Miller lasts to pick 40 and expects the Chiefs to end up with fewer than their current nine picks.

“I think Caleb McDonald is the best defensive tackle in this class.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Gracen HaltonMar 21, 2026
Gracen Halton to be picked at number 74
“Halton would be around the 74 ranges, my guess. Could fall to one zero nine, but not certain of that.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.94a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Gracen Halton
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
23.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
107
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
23.94
predicted pick:
74
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Zane DurantMar 21, 2026
Zane Durant to be picked “a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot” (picks 129–172)
“He also will be, I think, a a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot”
Close · 68Scored 67.71a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Zane Durant
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
181
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
a fourth, fifth round, maybe maybe slips into sixth, but I think fifth is about the right spot (picks 129–172)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Kayden McDonaldMar 21, 2026
Kayden McDonald to be 1st defensive tackle off the board
“I think Caleb McDonald is the best defensive tackle in this class.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 19.25+30.75 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 24 at random averages 19.25
skill:
30.75
player:
Kayden McDonald
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
50
baseline:
19.25
position:
defensive tackle
class size:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
3
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Rayshaun BennyMar 21, 2026
Rayshaun Benny to be picked “end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three”
“One guy that stands out to me that is likely to be an end of the day three or top, round three or of round four, day three, is Rayshawn Benny from Michigan.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Kaleb ProctorMar 21, 2026
Kaleb Proctor to be picked “a day three guy”
“I do think he's gonna be a day three guy that they should have their eyes on as well.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Skyler Gill-HowardMar 21, 2026
Skyler Gill-Howard to be picked “squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three”
“now it looks like he is squarely falling all the way down to the late rounds on day three, and I think that's a great value pickup”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?