Ross Jackson · Mar 9, 2026
In a pre-free agency seven-round Saints mock draft, Ross Jackson has New Orleans taking Ohio State safety Caleb Downs at No. 8, Missouri edge Zion Young at 42, Georgia WR Zachariah Branch at 73, Nebraska RB Emmett Johnson at 132, Alabama DT Tim Keenan III at 137, Iowa guard Beau Stevens at 148, Texas LB Trey Moore at 170 and Houston TE Tanner Cazio at 189. He also expects slot/star defenders like Bud Clark, Keonta Scott and Traytan Stukes to be second- or third-round picks, Malachi Lawrence to go around top 100, and Alontae Taylor to leave in free agency.
“Caleb Downs makes perfect sense for this team at eight, assuming that those medicals do check out.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →
13 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksTreydan StukesMar 9, 2026
Treydan Stukes to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 65–96)
“trading stoops as well out of Arizona ... Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.”
Miss · 31Scored 31.05 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.07 against a shuffle’s 50+41.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.07
- player:
- Treydan Stukes
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 31.05
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 38
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 31.05
- predicted pick:
- probably second, third round players (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.07
Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 189
“jumping ahead now to round six, our final selection pick one eighty nine. Houston tight end Tanner Cazio.”
Miss · 34Scored 33.86 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.07 against a shuffle’s 50+41.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.07
- player:
- Tanner Koziol
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 33.86
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 164
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 33.86
- predicted pick:
- 189
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.07
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8
“Caleb Downs makes perfect sense for this team at eight, assuming that those medicals do check out.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
- Mock Draft PicksZion YoungNew Orleans SaintsMar 9, 2026
Zion Young to be picked at number 42
“Alright. Let's move on now to round two, pick 42. ... I went with Missouri edge rusher Zion Young.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Zion Young
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 45
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 42
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
Zachariah Branch to be picked at number 73
“there's a perfect opportunity for me to do so in round three, pick 73 with Georgia wide receiver, Zachariah Branch”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Zachariah Branch
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 79
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 73
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
Emmett Johnson to be picked at number 132
“with the first selection of round four, pick one thirty two, I went with Nebraska running back Emmett Johnson”
Miss · 28Scored 28.47 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Emmett Johnson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 28.47
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 161
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 28.47
- predicted pick:
- 132
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
- Mock Draft PicksTim KeenanNew Orleans SaintsMar 9, 2026
Tim Keenan to be picked at number 137
“Going back to defense here as well, with Alabama defensive tackle Tim Keenan the third. This is at round four, pick one thirty seven.”
Miss · 2Scored 1.63 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Tim Keenan
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 1.63
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 232
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 1.63
- predicted pick:
- 137
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
Beau Stephens to be picked at number 148
“round four pick one forty eight, I'm gonna go with Iowa guard Beau Stevens”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Beau Stephens
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 148
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 148
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
- Mock Draft PicksTrey MooreNew Orleans SaintsMar 9, 2026
Trey Moore to be picked at number 170
“And then round five pick one seventy, I'm gonna go with, Texas linebacker Trey Moore.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Trey Moore
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with MIA
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 170
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
- Mock Draft PicksBud ClarkMar 9, 2026
Bud Clark to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 65–96)
“And then I'd highlight, of course, TCU safety, Bud Clark. Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Bud Clark
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 64
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- probably second, third round players (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
- Mock Draft PicksKeionte ScottMar 9, 2026
Keionte Scott to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 65–96)
“Keontay Scott out of Miami. ... Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.”
Close · 42Scored 42.04 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Keionte Scott
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 42.04
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 116
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 42.04
- predicted pick:
- probably second, third round players (picks 65–96)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
- Mock Draft PicksMalachi LawrenceMar 9, 2026
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “top 100” (picks 1–100)
“And I think Malachi Lawrence now is going, like, top 100.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.43 against a shuffle’s 50+41.43 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.43
- player:
- Malachi Lawrence
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 23
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 100 (picks 1–100)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.43
- Trade and Signing CallsAlontae TaylorMar 9, 2026
Alontae Taylor to move
“Could also immediately step into the role of one, Allante Taylor, should he depart in free agency as we expect he will.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.