Tim Hasselbeck · Feb 19, 2026
Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter.
“Kyler Murray is most likely to get released.”
said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsMalik WillisFeb 19, 2026
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Willis is gonna walk in as the anointed starter somewhere because I think the market's gonna dictate that.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-8.33 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- GB
- skill:
- -8.33
- player:
- Malik Willis
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Player Season NumbersIsaiah LikelyFeb 19, 2026
Isaiah Likely to record 75 receptions
“I think you're talking about a guy who's probably catching, you know, over 75 balls, probably getting close to, you know, seven touchdowns.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 64.42-64.42 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 32.84
- skill:
- -64.42
- what happened:
- 27
- player:
- Isaiah Likely
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 64.42
- predicted:
- 75
- statistic:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 42
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
- 23.69
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Player Season NumbersIsaiah LikelyFeb 19, 2026
Isaiah Likely to record 7 receiving tds
“probably getting close to, you know, seven touchdowns”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 4.53
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 1
- player:
- Isaiah Likely
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 7
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 1
- last season:
- 6
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- position average:
- 3.07
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Kyler Murray to move to Arizona Cardinals
“Kyler Murray is most likely to get released. So Kyler Murray getting released, I don't think that he will be at the very top of the free agent market”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.