NFL Daily
Published without a byline — this record belongs to the publication rather than to a named writer.
37.78%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
8.02
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
3
Graded calls
across 1 article. 2 more not yet settled.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
Graded calls · 3
“But I think the betting favorite right now would be Josh Johnson starting this game for the Commanders”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-9.25 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- -9.25
- player:
- Josh Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- measured by:
- passing yards
- naive basis:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 2
“but my vote is for Mike McDonald”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Mike Macdonald
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
“I put Rabel fifth... Ben Johnson's my fourth... I have him third [Liam Cohen]... I am going with Mike McDonald... But right now, as it's stacked, I have it McDonald won Shanahan too.”
Scored 30a naive guess scored 0+33.3 skillHow this was scored
- best:
- Mike Vrabel
- skill:
- 33.3
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 30
- baseline:
- 0
- settled by:
- wins above the prior-season baseline
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- coaches ranked:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 2