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Leaderboard Predictions NFL Publishers Posts Methodology

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Leaderboard Predictions NFL Publishers Posts Methodology

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Phil Murphy — Prediction Record | MissedTakes

Leaderboard / Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

Writes at NFL Live (podcast)

Every take from Phil Murphy, including the ones still waiting →

0%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

—

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

1

Graded calls

across 1 article.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Murphy suggested David Bailey could be the first edge rusher, and possibly the first defensive player, drafted.Feb 25, 2026
- David Bailey to be 1st edge rusher off the board
  “which is why he could be the first edge rusher, if not the first defensive player off the board”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored
  draft:
  2026
  player:
  David Bailey
  season:
  2025
  outcome:
  went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  50
  position:
  edge rusher
  difficulty:
  1
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual order:
  undrafted
  predicted order:
  1
  weeks left when called:
  0
  Think this grade is wrong?

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.