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Mike Renner · Feb 5, 2026

Renner picks Seattle to blow out New England 31-10, citing the Seahawks' defensive line against the Patriots' offensive line, and also says the Cardinals will sign Aaron Rodgers.

I don't think it's quite that bad, but I went 31 to 10.

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    So for that reason, I don't even think it's pull away late. I think this is just one of kind of, like, the Seahawks laughters that they've had all year.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 10

    I don't think it's quite that bad, but I went 31 to 10. I think it's going to be they're up 20 plus in the third, fourth quarter

    Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 16.73+71.36 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    71.36
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    88.1
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    21

    Think this is wrong?

  • Aaron Rodgers to move to Arizona Cardinals

    Well, now they're obviously gonna sign Aaron Rodgers. That that's why you get Nathaniel Hackett.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

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